Hi all,
There’s a competitive looking seven race card at Nottingham this afternoon with the feature race being a 5f Class 3 handicap with £35,000 in guaranteed prize money. And, it’s a competitive race despite a short-priced favourite. There’s jumps action this afternoon from Fakenham & Taunton and evening all-weather fixtures at Kempton and Dundalk.
I have selections from Nottingham and Kempton.
Nottingham
1:40 – Mostawaa has been given a 138-day break since disappointing at Sandown in June. The 5-year-old was in good form in the spring finishing ¾ length 3rd of 20 in the Spring Mile at Doncaster and 2nd of 9 at Ascot the following month. His Doncaster had come off a 101-day break so he can go well fresh son the absence need not be an issue.
1pt win – Mostawaa – 13/2 @ Bet365 or 6/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
2:15 – Raasel made it 2-2 over C&D two weeks ago. The 4-year-old is improving, only up 3lb for his latest success and must have a great chance of landing the four timer.
Wrenthorpe was a ½ length second to Raasel last time and gets a 2lb pull in the weight. Raasel is open to more progress but if the ground was to ease further then Wrenthorpe could reverse placings. His form figures over C&D are 121112.
Rebel At Dawn won over C&D (good to firm) last season. The 3-year-old failed to stay over 6f at Haydock 12-days ago but is better judged on his ¾ length 2nd of 9 to Boundless Power at Ascot two starts back.
Josies Kid is the sole 2-year-old in the race which means he gets in off a handy low weight, albeit he’s still 5lb out of the handicap. Much improved when winning on his nursery debut at York (soft) 19-days ago. No problem with underfoot conditions for the juvenile and he could do well in sprint handicaps as a 3-year-old. Tough ask against experienced handicappers but not easily dismissed.
Verdict: I’m taking on the favourite Raasel with course specialist Wrenthorpe and having a saver on the juvenile Josies Kid.
1pt win – Wrenthorpe – 9/1 @ Bet365 & Paddy Power
1pt win – Josies Kid – 7/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
Kempton
7:15 – Marshall Plan doesn’t have a lot miles on the clock and although the son of Golden Horn has been a bit hit and miss on turf, he looks capable of better on returned to the all-weather and a smaller field. His form figures in field sizes 7 or less are 3122 whilst his two poorest performances have come in field sizes 15+.
1pt win – Marshall Plan – 5/1 @ Bet365
Cheers
John