Hi all,
The month finally comes to an end and hopefully we can end it with a winner. The best race of the day is the Mayo National (6:35) at Ballinrobe. I have selections from Ballinrobe and one in the 5f handicap at Tipperary (7:15).
Ballinrobe
5:35 – Enniskerry was in good form in novice hurdle company last summer winning at Downpatrick and Roscommon before finishing a ½ length 2nd of 10 to the useful M C Muldoon at the Galway Festival. Returned from a 7 month absence with an eyecatching enough effort when an 8 length eighth of 16 at Fairyhouse in February on his handicap hurdle debut. Looks on a competitive mark for first start beyond an extended 2m 4 ½ f but on pedigree he should be suited by 3m. His best form has come on a sound surface so hopefully the ground won’t ease too much before post time.
1pt win – Enniskerry – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
6:35 – McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Grade B) – 2m 7f
Max Flamingo took six races to get off the mark over fences. However, he’s now won two out of his last three starts over the larger obstacles. Top-weight to carry here but he’s got a touch of class and comes into the race in great form. Wouldn’t want the ground to get too quick so any bit of ease will suit. He’s the one to beat. Ilikedwayurthinkin went close in a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree last month. The 8-year-old won twice over fences last autumn, including a beginners chase over C&D in September. Jumping let him down on subsequent starts in handicap company. If he can get his jumping together, he can win a decent pot over fences off his present mark. Jackson’s Gold was a progressive handicap hurdler last Spring. Not at that level of form over fences and remains a maiden after seven starts. Best effort so far over the larger obstacles when a 1¾ length 2nd of 13 here over 2m 1f last time. Step up in trip is a positive and he did stay 3m over hurdles. I’m going with Jackson’s Gold here. However, I wouldn’t put anyone off Max Flamingo who could be worth saver if the odds allow.
1pt win – Jackson’s Gold – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes.
1pt win – Max Flamingo – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
Tipperary
7:15 – Moss Tucker, a C&D handicap winner, last October made promising seasonal return when 3rd of 22 at Curragh (6f). Hasn’t really kicked on his next two starts over 7f and back 6f last time. Hopes are pinned on a return to C&D to see him bounce back to form. A prominent race he could get the race run to suit and looks on a competitive mark. At around 5/2 he would be interesting but not a best priced 7/4. One that looks overpriced is Chocquinto. The mare hit form last June winning twice at Down Royal the latter of those wins coming from 3lb lower. Yet to win on her five starts over C&D but she was a ¾ length 3rd of 12 over C&D (Good to firm) last July, off 6lb higher. A reproduction of that run would see the mare go very close here. Quick ground suits and she will be sharper for her recent run in Listed company. She’s the pick ahead of the favourite Moss Tucker.
1pt win – Chocquinto – 12/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
Good luck with your Tuesday bets.
John