Hi all,
I don’t normally come out to play on Monday but there’s a good Class 3 handicap at Ayr with £15,462 on offer to the winner, it’s a decent pot for a Monday and rightly attracted a decent sized field of 16 runners.
I have also found a couple of other selections at Ayr and Windsor this afternoon.
Ayr
The going at Ayr on Sunday was being described as soft, good to soft in places and more rain was being forecast so we shouldn’t be seeing much good in the going description.
3:45 – Ayr Gold Cup Trial Handicap (Class 3) – 6f
Tinto has won on soft (6f) in the past but he’s very best form has come on a sound surface. He put in decent effort when a 2 ½ length 3rd of 8 at Thirsk 12 days ago. He’s now 3lb below his last winning mark and should go close.
Abduction is a tricky horse to win with, but he’s been running well this season over a variety of distances from 5f to 7f. He was a ½ length 3rd of 8 over C&D in May from 2lb higher. Twice a course winner over 7f. He seems likely to give an good account of himself if he gets the strong pace he needs.
Illusionist went into the tracker when he finished a 1 ¼ length 3rd of 10 at Ripon in April. Poor at York next time but his 2 ¾ length 6th of 12 at Haydock last month was a better effort on ground that would have been plenty quick enough for him. He might be better over 5f but he like plenty of ease in the ground and is 3lb below his last winning mark.
Thunder Roar lightly raced, just the five career starts the 4-year-old made a winning stable debut for Tony Coyle when comfortably seeing off 10 rivals here (7f) 7 days ago. It looks like soft ground is what he needs and although he has a 5lb penalty to carry and is up a couple of notches in class he might be capable of better.
Thunder Roar – 1pt win – 8/1 @ Bet365
Illusionist – 1pt win – 12/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
5:30 – Ayr Poet has run well on both starts this season and didn’t get the best of passages when a 1¾ lengths 5th of 12 to a stablemate at Musselburgh 12 days ago. All six career wins have come in Class 6 company, but he was only beaten a neck in a Class 5 (1m) here last September from a 6lb higher mark. Yards runners are going well and although he might want drier ground over 1m 2f he shouldn’t be far away.
Ayr Poet – 1pt win – 9/1 @ Bet365
Windsor
7:10 – A Sure Welcome wins his share of races and made it 2-4 over C&D when winning here last July off 4lb higher. The 9-year-old gained a third course success when winning a C&D handicap last June from 5lb higher, He hasn’t fired on two starts since joining new trainer so well being has to be taken on trust, but he’s ground versatile 2 wins from 6 runs, 2 places on good to soft and id down to handy mark when he does bounce back to form.
A Sure Welcome – 0.5pts each way – 20/1 @ Bet365 (paying 3 places)
I’m not sure how many more selections there will be for the rest of the week. So, watch your inboxes for any updates.
Cheers
John