Hi all,
Things didn’t pan out well over the last three days. In fact, it was a bit of a disaster in all truth. However, we have five-days of Royal Ascot to recoup losses.
Royal Ascot is normally a tough meeting to make a profit from and this year looks even trickier. My usual trends approach looks like it will have limited utility this year, as most of the runners won’t have had a previous run prior to the meeting, That doesn’t mean that race trends will be completely disregarded even in an unusual season like this one. However, one set of trends that could pay to note, even more so this season, are trainer stats.
Before all the excitement of the Royal Meeting, we have racing at six venues across Britain & Ireland. With the 1m 4f Listed Pontefract Castle Fillies’ Stakes the feature race of a bumper ten race Pontefract card. I have a couple of selections from the West Yorkshire track.
Pontefract
2:50 – Antonia De Vega is clearly head of her rivals on form but that fact hasn’t been lost by the market. The race offers punters an each-way opportunity and the one I like is the Richard Fahey trained Eva Maria. The 4-year-old was a steady improver last season culminating in a win in a valuable fillies’ handicap at Newmarket in October. She was never in contention but stayed on to good effect when 4th of 7th to the smart Terrebellum in the Group 2 Dahlia Stakes 9-days ago. Back into calmer waters today. The daughter of Sea The Stars could well improve for the step up to 1m 4f and has an each way chance.
0.5pts each way – Eva Maria – 12/1 @ Bet365
3:25 – I don’t know much about trainer George Boughey but I do know he’s had 2 winners from 5 runners since racings resumption and his record for 2020 is a superb 8 winners from 22 runners 36% +25.73 A/E 2.12 15 placed 68%. He saddles Baltic Wolve who has hinted at ability on his four career starts. The 3-year-old makes his handicap debut today, in the first-time blinkers, and if the headgear has the desired effect the son of Australia has to be respected from an inform yard.
1pt win – Baltic Wolve – 15/2 @ Bet365
Cheers
John