Hi all,
Two from two on Sunday, albeit one was odds on.
I wasn’t expecting any selections today, but we have three eyecatchers running on Monday and there’s also a valuable handicap chase at Navan that I couldn’t resist having a go at.
Let’s begin with the eyecatchers.
Southwell
2:00 – Djin Conti – 3/1 @ William Hill – Made a pleasing debut over fences at Newbury 17-days ago and will be suited by the step back up in trip.
2:30 – Deadly Approach – 11/2 @ Paddy Power or 5/1 – Gen – Went into the tracker after his third placed effort at Haydock two starts back. Pulled up at Ludlow last time but a reproduction of his Haydock, off 5lb lower, would give a him a good chance here. A useful 7lb claimer has been booked for the ride.
Plumpton
3:35 – Graasten – 4/1 @ William Hill & Bet365 – Beaten at 1/8 last time is a worry. But maybe he needs today’s softer ground, won over hurdles on heavy. Worth a final chance.
Navan
4:30 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final (Grade B) – 3m
A field of 14 are set to go to post for this year’s renewal which looks set to be run on soft ground.
Looking at the trends for the race the last 11 winners of the race had won one of their last three races.
Using that trend there are five qualifiers: Mon Lino, Se Mo Laoch, Young Paddymc, Lilshane, Kayf Thou.
Young Paddymc – 11/2 @ Paddy Power – One of two runners from the Thomas Gibney stable, has only had two starts over fences but was a decisive winner of a Punchestown beginners chase 64-days ago. The 7-year-old was strong at the finish that day and shouldn’t have any issues with extra 1 ½ f he travels today. Capable of plenty more improvement on his handicap chase debut. His sole hurdle win came on heavy so underfoot conditions shouldn’t hold any terrors for him. A mark of 116 looks very workable.
Cheers
John