Cheltenham Festival 2020 Race Trends – Part 2

Hi all,

It was good to get off the cold list yesterday and even better to get two winners. That gets the month off to a flyer.

Anyway, here are the rest of the races from a trends perspective that I promised. They cover the final three days of the Cheltenham Festival.

Cheltenham Festival 2020 – Trend Races

Wednesday March 11th – Day 2

Looking at the trends for the first two races at the Cheltenham Festival.

Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle

The results below contain 10 winners from 135 runners 30 placed.

Age: 5yo to 6yo

Position Odds Market: Clear Top, Clear Second, Joint Second, Clear Third, Joint Third, Clear Fourth & Clear Fifth

Runs in Hurdle Races: 3 or 4

Last Time Out Placing: 1st or 2nd

8 winners from 23 runners +32.5 +26.23 13 placed

Coral Cup

The results below contain 10 winners from 261 runners 40 placed

Age: 5yo to 9yo

Weight: 11-0 +

Runs in Hurdle Races: 3 to 9

Runs in Season: 1 to 5

8 winners from 65 runners +96 (+134.27 BSP) 18 placed (+129.88 each way)

Cheers

John

Thursday March 12th – Day 3

Pertemps Series Handicap Hurdle Final

The results below contain 10 winners from 236 runners 40 placed.

Odds SP: 25/1 & under

Class Move: Up 1, 2 or 3

Maximum Distance Run: 3m to 3m 1 ½ f

Favouritism Status Last Race: Not Favourite

9 winners from 69 runners +52.5 (+74.82 BSP) 19 placed

Ryanair Chase

The results below contain 10 winners from 110 runners 29 placed

Age: 7yo to 9yo

Official Rating: 161+

Best in Five Runs: 1st

Runs in Previous 90-Days: 1 or 2

9 winners from 33 runners +31.25 17 placed (+47.10 each way)

Friday March 13th – Day 4

Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

The results below contain 10 winners from 181 runners 30 placed

Age: 6yo to 8yo

Highest Class Run: Grade 1, 2 or 3

Last Time Out Placing: 1st 2nd 3rd of 4th

Odds SP Last Race: 11/4 to 14/1

9 winners from 47 runners +129.26 (+241.23 BSP) 14 placed (+152.76 each way)

Cheltenham Gold Cup

The results below contain 10 winners from 129 runners 30 placed

Age: 6yo to 9yo

Odds SP: 20/1 & Under

Highest Class Run: Grade 1

10 winners from 49 runners +35.5 20 placed

A handful of interesting extra stats in addition to the above.

Only Lord Windermere (2014) was officially rated below 164.

Only one winner Don Cossack (2016) had run more than 12 times over fences.

Eighteen last time out beaten favourites ran in the Gold Cup, none won and just 4 placed.

Only Native River (2018) has won in headgear.

Cheers

John

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