Author: John Burke

Hi all,

Going through a rather indifferent run at present. However, fingers are firmly crossed for a big Royal Ascot. I have the one selection before Tuesday and runs in the days feature race the Listed Cathedral Stakes (3:38) at Salisbury.

Salisbury

3:38 – British Stallion Studs EBF Cathedral Stakes (Listed Race) – 6f

Khaadem is the one to beat on a return to good to firm going. Fourth in both the Diamond Jubilee at Royal Ascot and the July Cup at Newmarket last season. However, he comes here on the back of two poor efforts in Meydan and latterly Haydock. The heavy ground wouldn’t have suited him last time Most likely winner but hard to be too confident. 

Half of the field are 3-year-old’s and the one that could take advantage should Khaadem fail to fire again is Cairn Gorm.  The colt won his first three races last season, including a Group 3 at Deauville, before struggled in Group 1 &2 company on subsequent runs. A winner twice on good ground, should be ok on quicker, he goes well fresh and Osin Murphy is in the saddle.

Not a 2pt bet but at the prices a 1pt is worth a poke.

1pt win – Cairn Gorm – 7/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

I will likely put up Tuesday’s Royal Ascot preview on Monday evening so watch your in boxes.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Ok, the racing isn’t great quality wise but there’s plenty of it (9 meetings) and it’s competitive. I have concentrated on the action at York & Sandown. Let’s begin on the Knavesmire.

York

2:35 – JCB Handicap (Class 2) – 7f

I put up Golden Apollo each way ante post at 20/1 on Wednesday and I’m happy with that pick.

Of the rest Troubador ran poorly on his seasonal reappearance at Haydock but is well handicapped if bouncing back to form.

Admiralty is on a losing run that goes back to May 2019.  The 7-year-old didn’t build on a promising return at Haydock. When only 6^th of 8 Thirsk 28-days ago. Today’s sounder surface will suit him better and is form figures over C&D are 22.

Gifted Ruler has only had five career starts, two last year and put in a career-best effort when short-head 2nd of 6 to Boccaccio in handicap at Newmarket last June. First run for 350-days but he starts this season off 1lb lower than at Newmarket. Lightly raced to think he could be capable of a bit better and has been gelded since his last run.

1pt win –Gifted Ruler 5/1 @ Bet365

3:40 – Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) – 6f

Seventeen have been declared for this 3-year-old only sprint handicap. I put up the Charlie Hills trained Dark Shift on Wednesday and he runs. The yard’s other entry Jadwal also runs. He’s finished runner-up on his three starts this season but you couldn’t really fault his effort when a 3 /4 length 2^nd of 12 to Jumby at Newmarket last month. A winner on good to firm last season he’s 7lb higher now but should go well.

Blackrod made an encouraging return to action when a 6 ¾ length 7^th of 11 at Haydock two weeks ago. Has been dropped 2lb since his last run and is of better as a 3-year-old. Osin Murphy is an eyecatching jockey booking for the colt who racing on ground quicker than good to soft for the first time.

Akido is rare runner for Ger Lyons 1-2 here in the past five seasons. The gelding ended last season with a win in a Dundalk maiden last November and returned to action with another win at the same venue 52-days ago. Looked a useful sprinter that day despite not the most attractive head carriages. Handicap debut off a workable mark and Sam Ewing takes off a handy 5lb. Yard’s runners in fine form.

1pt win – Akido – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Sandown

2:15 – Coral “Beaten By A Length” Free Bet Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) – 5f

Atalis Bay improved when runner-up to the highly regarded Winter Power in a Listed race last time. He was no match for the winner but did finish well clear of the third and is the one to beat here.

Irish raider Steel Bull looked a smart juvenile when winning the Group 3 Molecomb Stakes at Goodwood last summer. Failed to build on that form on his next three starts although he was a close-up 5^th of 10 in the Flying Childers.  Only beat one home on his seasonal reappearance but the ground was soft and he probably needed the run. The drying ground will suit him better than last time and he’s very much respected.

1pt win – Steel Bull – 7/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

2:50 – lay Coral “Racing-Super-Series” For Free Handicap (Class 2) – 1m

Repertoire did best of those held up when a length 3^rd of 9 at Ascot two starts back. Didn’t seem to enjoy the good to soft ground when a 5 ½ length 5^th of 12 at Newbury last month.  Today’s better ground is a positive and a reproduction of his Ascot performance would see him in the mix.

Dogged won a good Newmarket nursery in September 2019 off 1lb lower. Just the three starts last year without winning. Looked and raced like the run was needed when a 3-length 5^th of 7 at Newmarket 29-days ago. Will be fitter today and is on a handy mark.

2pts win – Dogged – 11/2 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

1pt win – Repertoire – 10/1 @ Bet365 & Ladbrokes

Chester

3:20 – Glen Again hasn’t got the best of draws in stall 7 for a prominent racer. A winner over 1m 2f at Nottingham (soft) two starts back. Showed he was just as effective on quicker ground when a 1 ¾ length 2^nd of 6 behind the improving Dhushan at Musselburgh 7-days ago. He’s unexposed over 1m 4f and should give his backers a good run for their money.

1pt win – Glen Again – 15/2 @ Bet365

Cheers

John

Hi all,

There’s plenty of racing this weekend but quality wise it has a distinctly pre–Royal Ascot feel about it.

Following on from Thunder Kiss’s win in the Munster Oaks at Cork on Wednesday I have a few selections for Friday.

York

2:20 – Churchill Tyres Handicap (Class 4) – 1m 2 ½ f

Sandret ran well after a six-month layoff when a 2-length 3^rd of 8 at Redcar 11-days ago. Slowly away that day the 5-year-old wasn’t best positioned but was doing his best work at the finish.  Hasn’t won since September 2019 but is now 6ln below that mark now. Suited by quick ground and can win this but the yard is 0-23 in the past 14-days.

Emiyn, a soft ground winner when trained in Ireland by previous trainer Dermot Weld, shaped better than his 10-length 7^th of 17 here last month suggests. He ran well for a long way over 1m 4f and the drop back to 1m 2f looks a good move. Looks capable of being competitive of his mark.

Regal Mirage seems to have been revitalized by the fitting of cheekpieces and is form figures since they were applied are 122. Only beaten close home by a well handicapped horse at Hamilton 8-days ago and goes well on a sound surface. Up a notch in class but should go well.

3:30 – EBF Supporting Racing With Pride Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2) – 6f

Noorban has been in good form of 5f, winning at Ayr (good to firm) two starts back before finishing runner-up at Redcar last time. Looks worth another try over 6f and won’t be far away.

The lightly raced Mejthaam won at the 4^th attempt when dropped back to 6f at Wolverhampton 16-days ago. Need to improve again to win on her handicap/turf debut but its highly possible the 3-year-old can.

Mid Winster runner-up at Musselburgh two starts back and ran almost as well when 4^th of 17 here in a stronger race last month. That run was over 5f but she’s just as effective over 6f. Back against her own sex here and high on the shortlist.

2pts win – Mid Winster – 4/1 @ Bet365 & Coral

4:35 – Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap (Class 3) – 7f

Danielsflyer a winner over the diatance at Redcar in April came up against the rapidly improving Boardman when 2^nd of 18 over C&D 28-days ago. Nudged up 2lb for that effort but should go close.

Firmament isn’t as good as he used to be and needs to bounce back after finishing last of 14 here last month. Always needs to be respected at York (three wins) and his form figures over C&D are 211. Has dropped to 3lb below his last winning mark. Needs a strong pace to come off and if he gets it won’t be far away.

Citron Major is another who needs to revive after three below par runs over 6f. A former C&D winner he gets the addition of the first-time blinkers today and his best form has come on good to firm ground. Could out run big odds if the new headgear has the desired effect.

Illusionist is useful at his best and shapes like he’s worth a try over 7f and can go well for a yard in hot form 6 winners from 14 runners 46% in the past 14-days.

1pt win – Firmament – 10/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Sandown

3:20 – Sandown Park Breeders’ Day September 15 Handicap (Class 3) – 1m 2f

Russian Virtue settled much better in the first-time hood when a close-up 3^rd of 9 at Yarmouth last time. Looks on a competitive mark and trainer David Menuisier is 6-19 32% +15.50 with his 4-year-old+ runners at Sandown.

You’re Hired, goes well on good, good to firm ground. He’s having his first start since November but his record on his seasonal return on good, good to firm ground is an encouraging 1231. Jim Crowley booked and today’s likely the time to catch the 8-year-old.

Andaleep looked like needed the run when down the field at York on his seasonal reappearance last month. The 5-year-old is respected back over a C&D where his form figures are 211. Might not want the ground to quick though.

1pt win – You’re Hired – 5/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Aintree

7:55 – Boagrius has dropped down to a winnable mark and shaped better than the distance beaten suggests when a 27 lengths 4th of 8 to Go Steady at Warwick last month. Ground versatile and looks set to go well for a yard among the winners.

1pt win – Boagrius – 9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Fairyhouse

4:55 – Follow Fairyhouse On Instagram Handicap – 6f

Fastnet Crown bounced back to form when only caught close home at Cork last time. Can race off the same mark here and is effective on good firm ground. First run at 6f but he showed enough dash over 7f to think he’ll cope with the drop back in trip.

Mrs Bouquet will like the quick ground but is maybe better over 5f.

Angel Palm hails form the inform Ger Lyons yard. The 3-year-old has only had three starts. A winner at Leopardstown over 7f (good) last August. She makes her handicap/seasonal reappearance back at 6f and could be well treated off a mark 92.

Mia Mento was a ½ length 3^rd of 19 at Ascot last September on her final start for Peter Chapple-Hyam. Two starts for Jessica Harrington haven’t been devoid of promise. Only 11^th of 14 at Gowran Park 4-days ago but was only beaten 3 lengths and didn’t get the best of passages inside the final furlong. Has each way claims of this race doesn’t come too quick.

1pt win – Fastnet Crown – 11/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt each way – Mia Mento – 22/1 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook (both paying 5 places 1/5 odds)

Cheers

John

Hi all,

I have a couple of selections for this afternoon’s meeting at Cork where it’s Derby Day at Cork, although the feature race is the Group 3 Munster Oaks (3:30).

It’s a bit since I did any ante post tipping but I have a couple ante post selections for York on Saturday that I want to share with you today.  Now I appreciate ante post betting isn’t for everyone and none of the selections are guaranteed runners on Saturday.

The weekend racing prior to Royal Ascot tends to be low in terms of quality. In truth Saturday is very down market. There are nine meetings on Saturday but the highest-class races are Listed races at Sandown and York.

It looks like it’s going to continue be dry for the weekend’s action so we can expect good to firm going across the country.

York – Saturday

2:35 – JCB Handicap (Class 2) -7f

There are a couple that I like for this handicap:

Azano won a Group 3 Chantilly in 2019, when trained by John Gosden.  The 5-year-old ran well when a 2 ½ length 3rd of 9 at Thirsk on his first start for David O’Meara. However, he didn’t build on that when well beaten at Goodwood on a return to handicap company. He quickly bounced back to form when a 2 ½ length 2nd of 8 back at Thirsk last time. He looks on a competitive mark off 91. Trainer David O’Meara won this race in 2019.

Golden Apollo has plenty of form at York mostly over 6f but I noticed that the 7-year-old finished a 4-length 5th of 20 in this race in 2019. His last success came over 6f in Ayr’s Silver Cup in September of that year.  No wins last season but he went close here over 6f last July off 3lb higher. Likely needed the run on his first start for 252-days when never competitive at Haydock two weeks ago. A return to York is a positive and if he does take his place in Saturday line-up, he won’t be 20/1.

1pt win – Azano – 9/1 @ Coral

1pt each way – Golden Apollo – 20/1 – Gen

3:40 – Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint Handicap (Class 2) – 6f

Charlie Hills has a couple of entries in this Heritage Handicap. However, I’m hoping he’s going to rely on Dark Shift. The colt made a winning return to action at Nottingham (soft) last month. Although the going was testing that day, he had shown even better form when winning on good ground at Ascot on his juvenile debut last year.  Handicap debut off a mark of 88 looks more than workable and he’s open to further improvement.

1pt win – Dark Shift – 15/2 @ Bet365.

The best of the action today is across the Irish Sea. It’s Derby Day at Cork although the feature race is the Group 3 Munster Oaks (3:30).

Cork

3:30 – Thunder Kiss a winner of 1m 4f handicap at Dundalk of 84 back in March seemed to improve further when a ¾ length 2nd of 7 in a similar race at Naas last month. A return to today’s distance could see her go one better today.

2pts win – Thunder Kiss – 9/2 – Gen

4:00 – The lightly raced Federica Sophia looks set to go off a short price in the Cork Derby after her 4th of 18 on her Leopardstown return last month.

The Names Jock was 5 ½ length further back in that race but it was the 5-year-old’s first start for five months and would have finished closer. If he had a clearer passage in the final two furlongs.  Fitter for that run and the previous course winner has each-way claims today.

1pt each way – The Names Jock – 12/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Good luck with your Wednesday bets.

John

Hi all,

Ejtilaab saved what was a tough Derby Day at Epsom yesterday.  Today there’s an ultra-competitive looking 15 runner bet365 Sam Morshead Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase (4:20).

Perth

4:20 – bet365 Sam Morshead Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase – 3m

Assuming the ground is good as being described there are four, I like:

Mellow Ben has been well fancied on several occasions this year and last time out saw a change tactics on the 8-year-old who was held up when 2^nd of 7 at Kempton 34-days ago. He’s on a winnable mark and is well suited to a sound surface.

Landofsmiles won over C&D two starts back and showed he remains in good form when 2^nd of 9 at Ffos Las 27-days ago. Up 7lb since his last win demands a bit more from the 8-year-old but the yard saddled the winner of this in 2012 & 2018 and is 4-14 29% with its runners in the past 14-days.

The Butcher Said won two of his first three starts over fences, all on good ground, last year. He didn’t really kick on in handicap company but last time he took a step back in the direction when 3^rd of 13 in a valuable handicap chase at Ayr.  Jumping could be better but he was strong at the line at Ayr and won’t be far away here if the jockey doesn’t over do the exaggerated waiting tactics.

Trainer Tom George who saddled the winner of this in 2015 and is 5-13 38% in the past two weeks. He relies on Forget To Ask here. The 9-year-old is 2-2 since returning from a 4-month break and jumped very well when winning at Market Rasen last month. Up 8lb for that success and in a better race but he won with plenty in hand that day. He goes well on good ground and is at the right end of the handicap.

Verdict: Its tough to leave out two but at the prices I’m going with Mellow Ben & Forget To Ask.

1pt win – Mellow Ben – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt win – Forget To Ask – 10/1 @ Bet365

There are two others I like at Listowel & Kilbeggan

Listowel

2:10 – Tall Story shaped well on his handicap debut when a 2 ¾ length 3^rd of 12 at Roscommon 6-days ago. Doing his best work late on he’s on a winnable mark here provided this race doesn’t come to quick for the lightly raced 3-year-old. Trainer has his horses in winning form and has a good record at Listowel.

1pt win – Tall Story – 9/2 @ Bet365

Kilbeggan

4:45 – Eimear won over C&D, off 10lb lower, last July.  Was pulled up when favourite when last seen in action back in November. That race was on soft/heavy ground over hurdles so that performance is probably best forgiven.  Back over fences for the first time since here win here. The return to a sounder surface will suit the mare and Rachel Blackmore is an interesting jockey booking. Trainer Matthew Smith is 5-23 22% +37.50 with his runners at the track in the past five years.

1pt win – Eimear – 11/2 @ Bet365

Cheers

John

Hi all,

When you get it wrong in this game, boy do you get it wrong and I got the weather wrong at Epsom. Although it wasn’t a selection, at least I highlighted the claims of Oscula in the first and Blue Cup got an excellent ride from Osin Murphy to win the 1m 2f handicap. Rhoscolyn won the last and he would have been a selection in that race if I knew the ground was going to be as soft as it turned out to be.

Still a small profit on the day which was better than I feared when I watched the rain falling on the track.

Its Cazoo Derby Day at Epsom with the highlight of a seven-race card being the blue riband race of British flat racing.  The action begins at 2:00 and ITV are covering five races from the track building up to the Cazoo Derby (4:30).

The weather is set to be sunny and very warm tomorrow which will help to dry out the ground a bit and they will also be using fresh ground on the far side. We know that Epsom can dry quickly but how much will it dry by the time racing starts?  I think we can assume that it won’t be that quick for the Derby.

Epsom

2:00 – World Pool At The tote Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

King Frankel has been in good form this season winning at Pontefract two starts back before finishing a 4-length 2^nd of 10 in the London Gold Cup at Newbury.  Stablemate Chase The Dollar showed he stays 1m 2f at Newcastle last time. He’s a contender if he handles today’s different track.

Freak Out hails from the inform George Boughey yard.  The 3-year-old bounced back to form when a 1 ½ length 2^nd of 10 at Newmarket last time. Stall nine could be better and his best form has so far come on a sound surface but the first time cheekpiece are added for his start beyond a mile.

Patient Dream won here over an extended mile (good) on his seasonal reappearance. Up 7lb for that success and needs to settle better than he did last time if he’s to stay 1m 2f. The one to beat if he does. Dam won on soft so conditions should be fine.

1pt win – Freak Out – 7/1 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

2pts win – Patient Dream – 11/4 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

2:35 – Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Cazoo) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) – 1m ½ f

Posted shaped like last month’s seasonal return at Newmarket was needed. The 5-year-old is much respected on her success in Listed company at Sandown last September. She made all that day and repeat of such tactics would make her interesting here. Although she may prefer quicker ground.

Statement put in a much-improved performance when 2^nd of 17 to Alcohol Free at Newbury on her return to action. Ultimately well beaten in the 1,000 Guineas, probably helped to strong a pace, but is bred to appreciate a mile and won on heavy last Autumn.

3:10 – Cazoo Diomed Stakes (Group 3) – 1m ½ f

The recent rain has come right at the right time for Century Dream who won this race in 2018 and was successful when it was run at Newbury last year.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see Marie’s Diamond bounce back from a lack luster run at Ascot last time. The ground versatile 5-year-old could be hard to peg back if he gets an easy lead out in front.

3:45 – World Pool “Dash” Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) – 5f

The rain has come at the right time for the Tim Easterby trained Sunday Sovereign. Twice a winner on yielding/soft ground when trained in Ireland. The 4-year-old hasn’t been to best effect since switching to his new yard but bounced back to form when a ¾ length 2^nd of 12 at York (soft) two weeks ago. Yard saddled the first two home Captain Dunne & Confessional in 2011 and the 4th in 2019. Up 3lb for his York effort but has a good draw in stall 19 and he’s high on the shortlist.

His biggest rival could be last time out C&D winner Recon Mission out of stall 2. As we saw last time, he’s at his best on tracks that emphasis speed and although he’s been raised 3lb for his last win he remains on a good mark based on his best 3-year-old form.

2pts win – Sunday Sovereign – 6/1 @ Bet365

1pt win – Recon Mission – 9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

4:30 – Cazoo Derby (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Entire Colts & Fillies) – 1m 4f

The Derby remains the race that every owner, trainer and jockey wants to win.

Short priced favourite Bolshoi Ballet will be tough to beat. He’s won both his starts this season. Granted he got a good ride from Ryan Moore when winning the Derrinstown Derby Trial last time and his main market rival that day Mac Swiney underperformed. He should stay 1m 4f and could be a top-class colt.

Mac Swiney boosted the Derrinstown form when winning the Irish 2,000 Guineas last time. He’s another who should be suited by the step up to the Derby distance. Best form has come on testing ground but the longer distance on a sound surface should be fine for the colt.

Hurricane Lane is now 3-3 after his win in last month’s Dante at York. He looks the best of the home team and is another who should relish the step up to 1m 4f. A winner on heavy ground as a juvenile underfoot conditions shouldn’t be a problem for him.

Mohaafeth is another big contender from Newmarket. The son of Frankel didn’t come off the bridle when beating four rivals at Newmarket last month. Yet another colt who can improve for the step up to 1m 4f. The quicker the ground the better though and he may not run its too soft.

High Realm won the Lingfield Derby Trial at Lingfield last time.  A handy sort he won’t have any issues with the track. The son of Sea The Stars looks capable of more improvement and can get into the money.

John Leeper has won two of his three starts, both this year. He’s a rapidly improving colt that’s for sure. A winner of a 1m 2f Listed race at Newmarket last time. He won that day despite doing plenty wrong and showed plenty of greenness when successful last time. However, will a race like the Derby will come too quick for the son of the great racemare Snow Fairy.

Southern Lights has 8 ½ lengths to find with Bolshoi Ballet on their running last time. However, he didn’t get the best of passages that day. He’s only had three starts, is entitled to better with racing and should be suited by a step to 1m 4f. Could get into the money at big odds if handling ease in the ground.

Verdict: Bolshoi Ballet is a worthy favourite for Aidan O’Brien who bids to saddle his 9^th winner of the race. The ground has likely gone against Mohaafeth which makes Hurricane Lane the best of the home team. John Leeper is a potential big improver and has Frankie in the saddle.  Southern Lights could out run big odds and is one for those looking for a big priced each way play.

1pt win – Hurricane Lane – 13/2 @ Bet365 & Paddy Power

5:15 – Northern Dancer Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 4f

Group One Power beat Soto Sizzler over C&D back in April. There was just ½ length separating the pair on that occasion. He was able to dictate the pace that day and is not certain to get his own way here. The 4-year-old maintained his improvement when 2^nd of 9 at Ascot last time and seemed effective on soft ground at Ascot.

At the revised weights Soto Sizzler would have a good chance of reversing places with Group One Power.  However, he was last of seven at Newmarket (good to soft) 22-days ago. The former C&D winners best form has come on downhill tracks but soft ground would be a concern. Trainer & Jockey combined to win here yesterday.

Verdict: Likely favourite Group One Power has strong claims but if the ground was good or quicker, I would be very interested in Soto Sizzler.

5:50 – Cazoo Handicap (For the Tokyo Trophy) (Class 2) – 6f

A tricky handicap brings the curtain down on this year’s Derby Festival.

Lexington Dash is 5lb higher than when winning at Doncaster last time but remains progressive and remains on a competitive mark. Not sure whether the track will suit though and I suspect he will want the ground to dry out.

Ejtilaab drops back to 6f for the first time since winning on his racecourse debut. Strong in the market and ran well from the front when 2^nd of 11 to the improving Boardman at Chester 7-days ago. Stall 9 is a bit tricky but he seemed effective enough on good to soft last week and the drop to sprint trips could be a good one.

Kimifire hasn’t won for two years but he should be all the better for his 3^rd of 8 at Goodwood last month and is back down to the same mark as when beaten a head in last seasons Stewards Cup at the same venue.

Atalanta’s Boy made it 4-5 at Goodwood when winning on his seasonal reappearance at the Sussex venue 36-days ago. He’s been raised 5lb and now races off a career high mark but I don’t think we have seen the best of the ground versitile 6-year-old who is one of my long-term fancies for this season’s Stewards Cup.

Danzeno might be a 10-year-old but showed last season that he retains plenty of his old ability with some good efforts in sprint handicaps. Probably too consistent for his own good which means he doesn’t get much respite from the handicapper. It’s a tough ask to win this off a 236-day break but he has won fresh in the past. Handles soft but quicker ground would be better.

Verdict: A tricky handicap brings the curtain down on this year’s Derby Festival. My two picks are the inform Ejtilaab and Atalanta’s Boy.

1pt win – Ejtilaab – 7/1 @ Bet365

1pt win – Atalanta’s Boy – 15/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John

Hi all,

It’s the start of the Cazoo Derby Festiva, as if you didn’t know. Today’s it’s the Cazoo Oaks (4:30) with fourteen fillies are set to go to post for the third English Classic of the 2021 flat season. All the action gets underway at 2:00 and you can see the first five races of a seven-race card on ITV.

I have previewed six of the seven races on the card and I have selections in

Epsom

2:00 – Cazoo Woodcote EBF Stakes (Conditions Race) (Class 2) – 6f

Hopefully the George Boughey trained Oscula can get win this juvenile contest. The trainer has been doing well with his 2-year-old’s this season with 13 winners from 30 runners 43% +11.33 17 placed 57%. The filly built on the promise of her Kempton debut when making all to win at Brighton 11-days ago. She’s got a good draw in stall for another prominent run and given she handled Brighton she shouldn’t have any problems with the track.

2:35 – Coral ‘Beaten By A Length’ Free Bet Handicap (Class 2 – 1m ½ f

Irish Admiral is a short-priced favourite for this after shaping well when a 2 ½ length third of 12 to Surrey Pride on his handicap debut at York last time. Only up 1lb for that effort and will be suited by the drop back in trip. Capable of a lot better and the one to beat if he handles the track.

Mick Channon won this race in 2015 and has a live contender in Storting. Just the one start in 2020 and he bounced back to form when winning the Thirsk Hunt Cup last time. Up 5lb for that success and likely remains on a competitive mark but the favourite could be too well handicapped.

Verdict: Hard to look beyond Irish Admiral, if he handles the track.

3:10 – Coral Coronation Cup (Group 1) – 1m 4f

Besides Irish Admiral, William Haggas has another hot favourite in the shape of Al Aasy. Just six are set to go to post for this year’s renewal and in truth it doesn’t look like there is going to be much in way of pace. He could be worth taking on here given the class opposition of he faces today. He might also want more ease in the ground and this tricky track is an unknown. He’s plenty short enough on what he’s achieved so far, against horses with Group 1 winning form.

Aidan O’Brien saddles Japan & Mogul. Ryan Moore keeps the faith with Japan who we know handles the track. However, I just prefer the claims of Mogul.  He looked high class when winning the Group 1 Grand Prix De Paris at Longchamp last September.  Looked badly need of the run in Meydan in March and shaped like he still needed it last time when third in the Group 1 Prix Ganey. The return to 1m 4f is a positive for the colt and he should be there or thereabouts at the finish.

Verdict: Provided he isn’t inconvenienced by the lack of pace my tentative selection would be Mogul.

3:45 – Cazoo Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

Blue Cup shaped like a winner in waiting when 5^th of 10 in the City & Suburban over C&D in April.  He got no sort of run twice inside the final furlong and finished with plenty left in the tank. Well beaten at York last month when falling to settle. Gets the first-time hood today but needs all the cards to fall right to win.

Mark Johnson won this last year with Sky Defender who runs again and he also saddles Dream With Me who has won his last two starts at Ayr.  He’s been raised 7lb for the last of those wins and looks a much-improved horse this season.

Data Protection is 2-4 here, both wins over slightly shorter, he likes a sound surface and will be better for his recent seasonal reappearance at Chester last month.

HMS President returned to winning ways at Windsor last time. The likely strong pace will suit the 4-year-old who could better as a 4-year-old.

You’re Hired goes well on good, good to firm ground. He’s having his first start since November but his record on his seasonal return on good, good to firm ground is an encouraging 1231. James Doyle booked and today’s likely the time to catch the 8-year-old.

Verdict: There should be plenty of pace which will at least help Blue Cup to settle. Dream With Me is an improver and the yard won this 12 months ago. You’re Hired has each way claims on his return.

2pts win – Blue Cup – 3/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt each way – You’re Hired – 14/1 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook (both paying 4 places 1/5 odds)

4:30 – Cazoo Oaks (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) (Class 1) – 1m 4f

Aidan O’Brien saddles five of the 14 runners. They include favourite Santa Barbara, recent Musidora winner Snowfall and Divinely who was backed at big odds in the ante post market earlier in the week.

The race has an interestingly look about it although on paper it doesn’t seem as strong as the line-up as for the Derby.

The once raced Santa Barbara’s inexperience showed when finishing 1 ¼ length 4^th of 11 in the English 1,000 Guineas. One pedigree 1m 2 ½ f+ should suit so in the circumstances her Guineas effort was a good one. The daughter of Camelot is a lovely look filly who is open to plenty of improvement. If she stays, I think she can win, but there’s no guarantee she will.

Saffron Beach was ¼ length and two places in front of the favourite in the 1,000 Guineas. At the prices she looks better value of the pair but there are doubts about her stamina for 1m 4f and she had race fitness on her side at Newmarket.

Dubai Fountain had Zeyaadah back in second when winning the Cheshire Oaks. The runner-up was weak in the betting for her seasonal reappearance and may have needed the run. She also had to wait for a gap to appear two out and didn’t get the run of the race like the winner. Zeyaadah is open to more progress of the pair but on pedigree is by no means certain to stay a strongly run 1m 4f. Dubai Fountain is an uncomplicated filly who looks a guaranteed stayer and is almost double the price of the Roger Varian filly.

Snowfall got the run of the race out in front when winning the Musidora at York last month. Back in third that day was another Varian horse Teona. The daughter of Sea The Stars was far to keen on her seasonal return and ran green when asked for her effort two out. The first-time hood is applied today and she’s a filly capable of plenty of improvement if York has taken the fizz out of here. Snowfall has improved from two to three and another big run can be expected although stall 12 isn’t a positive.

Willow is another O’Brien runner.  Her dam won an Irish Oaks and was runner-up at Epsom and she looked a nice prospect when winning a Leopardstown maiden back in October. Has disappointed on both this season’s starts. Hopes are pinned on the quick ground and the step up to 1m 4f bringing out her best.

Verdict: Aidan O’Brien has a strong hand of contenders. Santa Barbara would be a backable price at 3/1 or bigger and I wouldn’t be totally surprised if we saw a much better run from Willow unless she’s on pacemaker duties. Dubai Fountain has a solid enough place claims.

1pt each way – Willow – 20/1 @ Bet365 & Coral (both paying 4 places 1/5 odds)

1pt win – Dubai Fountain – 9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

We are down to just five in the 5:10 now that Mystery Smiles is out this should go Mehmento who will be warm order from a favourable draw.

5:40 – Cazoo Derby Festival Handicap (Class 2) – 7f

Dulas has won his last two and is only 2lb higher than when winning at Goodwood two weeks ago. He a got superb ride from the front from Silvestre De Sousa that day and he stays on board. Stall 7 is a bit trick for front runner and he could face pace pressure from the likes Paws For Thought and perhaps Rhoscolyn.  Provided they don’t go to quick the improving Dulas will be tough to beat.  Paws For Thought and particularly Rhoscolyn, need respecting having won their last starts but the latter may prefer softer ground.  

Ataser was one of my initial fancies but he’s now a non -runner.  On A Session will land a nice handicap this season hopefully it won’t be today from stall 12.

That leaves previous course winner Arigato. Twice a winner at Newmarket early last season. The 6-year-old is back down to his last winning mark and was a respectable 5^th off 11 on his seasonal return. Will be fitter today and although stall 10 is tricky if they go hard enough, he can get into the places.

Verdict: Dulas is a solid favourite and Arigato has each way claims if they go quick up front.

2pts win – Dulas – 100/30 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt win – Arigato – 10/1 @ Bet365

Cheers

John

---

Hi all,

There’s a decent card at the Curragh this evening. Indeed, it wouldn’t be out of place on a Saturday. The feature race is the Group 3 Ballyogan Stakes (5:30). There’s also a good undercard with a Listed race and two Premier Handicaps, albeit the latter two races haven’t attracted big fields.  

Curragh

6:00 – Sky Bet Junefest Handicap (Premier Handicap) – 5f

There was plenty to like about Iva Batt’s win at Cork two weeks ago. The handicapper has raised her 3lb for that success which doesn’t look harsh and she won’t be far away again.

Notoriously Risky has run well on all three starts this season and would go close if reproducing her ¾ length 2^nd of 11 at Naas two starts back.

Swiss Ace was 5^th in that Naas race and has 6 lengths to find with Notoriously Risky on that running. However, that was colt’s first start for 9 months and he does get the first-time blinkers today.

Sister Rosetta broke her maiden tag at the 6^th attemptwhen showing plenty of dash to win a Dundalk maiden back in November. Likely needed the run when a 5 ½ length 6^th of 9 in a Navan Listed race 38-days ago. Likely to go well on her handicap debut for the inform Ger Lyons yard.

1pt win – Iva Batt – 4/1 – Gen

6:30 – Sky Bet Orby Stakes (Listed Race) – 1m 2f

Bolshoi Ballet backers will be hoping that stablemate Lough Derg can give another boost to the Derrinstown Derby Trial form. He was a 6-length runner-up in that race and reproduction of that running would see the colt go close here.

Patrick Sarsfield improved from handicap company to win a Group 3 at Leopardstown last summer and ended last season with 1 ¼ length 2^nd of 8 in a Group 2 at Longchamp. Won first time up in 2020 but the 5-year-old must give weight for age and 3lb penalty to some potentially improving 3-year-olds.

Bolivar looked like he can hold his own in this sort company when 2^nd of 12 at Naas on his final start last season. The 4-year-old has only had five career starts so is open to more progress although drying ground would be a bit of an unknown for his seasonal return.

O’Reilly a winner of Leopardstown maiden on his seasonal reappearance, improved further for the step up to 1m 2f when runner-up to Kyprios at Cork last time.  Might be seen to better effect over further but he’s going the right way and should progress with racing.

Nicest wasn’t disgraced when a 5 ¾ length 3^rd of 7 in the Cheshire Oaks on her return after an 8 months absence. The more the ground dries out the better her chance and the daughter of American Pharaoh should also be suited by today’s drop back in trip.  Lightly raced and she could still prove to be a Group filly this season.

Verdict: Lough Derg looks the most likely winner. However, I am going to take him on with O’Reilly & Nicest.

1pt win – O’Reilly – 6/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt win – Nicest – 7/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

7:05 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Handicap (Premier Handicap) – 1m 6f

Shanroe return to the flat after three starts over hurdles over the winter.  He was a 3 ¼ length 4^th of 16 in the November Handicap at Naas on his last start on the level.  The handicapper has dropped the 7-year-old 3lb. He may prove better over a bit further but should go well here.

Shoshone Warrior won a Leopardstown maiden last summer for Aidan O’Brien and put in a career best on RPR’s when a ½ length 2^nd of 18 at the same venue in a valuable handicap (1m 5f) last September. Poor run in the Irish Irish Cesarewitch on soft ground and has since switched to Joseph O’Brien. Will probably be seen to best effect on good ground.

Powerful Ted was ¾ length behind Shoshone Warrior at Leopardstown. The 6-year-old returned from a 7 month lay off to finish 3^rdof 11 over hurdles at Kilbeggan 40-days ago. The return to the flat is a positive and he looks capable of winning a good handicap pot this season.

Verdict: Despite being a 7-year-old Shanroe could be open to more progress having just had then four starts on the flat There shouldn’t be much between Shoshone Warrior and Powerful Ted on last season’s Leopardstown running. Both have chances and it will be interesting to see how fit the former is on his debut for a new yard.

1pt win – Shoshone Warrior – 5/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

1pt win – Powerful Ted – 5/1 @ Bet365 & Paddy Power

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Boardman maintained his recent improvement with another win this time at Chester. He got me back among the winners and small profit on the day. Three interesting handicaps over both codes today.

Uttoxeter

3:57 – Clarke Chase (A Handicap Chase) (For the Sir Stanley and Lady Clarke Challenge Trophy) (GBB Race) (Class 2) – 2m 4f

This is a decent handicap chase for a summer Sunday with 18 declared to meet the starter.

Pistol Whipped has made the running to beat small fields on his last two starts. Good ground is very much a positive but he’s up 6lb but this is better race and he won’t find it easy to dominate a big field like this

Captain Tommy won on here on his stable debut for David Bridgewater. That success came over 3m so the drop back in trip may not be ideal. No issues with good ground though and a 5lb rise in the weights isn’t harsh. A strong pace will bring his stamina into play and he shouldn’t be far away.

Fidux shaped with promise when a 2-length 3^rd of9 at Newton Abbot 25-days ago. That was the 8-year-old’s first start for 5 months and he was unlucky not to finish closer after getting hampered two out. Five of his 7 career wins have come on good ground so gets his ideal underfoot conditions and should get the race run to suit.

Verdict: Pistol Whipped will face competition for the lead but he’s progressive and with the yard in such good form is high on the shortlist. Captain Tommy is another going the right way and remains on a competitive after his last win here over further.

1pt win – Captain Tommy – 15/2 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

1pt win – Pistol Whipped – 6/1 @ Bet365

Navan

4:05 – Royal County Premier Handicap – 1m 2f

Aidan O’Brien has a strong hand with likely favourite Baton Rouge & Iowa. Baton Rouge a winner at Dundalk on his first start as a 3-year-old. He improved further for the step up to 1m 2f when a 1 ¾ length 2^nd of 7 at Naas last time. Up 2lb for that effort and has top-weight of 9-10 to overcome. First time cheekpieces are applied today for his handicap debut and he looks capable of better.

Iowa remains a maiden after seven starts but shaped well enough when a 1 ½ length 4^th of 14 at Leopardstown three weeks ago. Up 2lb but  on what looks a competitive mark.

Snowy Owl finished runner-up in the race. He seemed to stay 1m 4f well enough that day but may struggle to confirm form with Iowa here.

Earl of Tyrone was sent off the 9/2 favourite in the Leopardstown race that Iowa finished 4^th in. He ran below market expectations in finishing 7^th but connections opt for the first-time blinkers and better run can be expected, if the headgear has the desired effect.

Bear Story a winner on his final juvenile start at Dundalk back in December, showed he had trained on from two to three when a 3 ¾ length 2^nd of 13 to Sir Lamorak at Leopardstown (good) 49-days ago. Open to further improvement and if he handles today’s softer ground can go close.

Verdict: Baton Rouge looks capable of more improvement but then so do several others including Bear Story. However, at the prices I’m just siding with Earl Of Tyrone.

1pt win – Earl Of Tyrone – 6/1 @ Bet365

Punchestown

2:05 – Ladbrokes Handicap Chase – 2m 4f

Somptueux returned from a 185-day break to win a 2m 5f novice chase at Fairyhouse last month. Up 5lb for his handicap debut but maybe capable of better. Best form over fences has come so far with good in the going description so drying ground may serve him better.

Optical Confusion unseated his rider at 6^th at Ballinrobe 5-days ago. Prior to that the 9-year-old had been in the form of his career winning at Fairyhouse & Ballinrobe. Quick turnaround but if none the worse for last week’s mishap should go well.

Dame Du Compagnie, a very useful hurdler at her best, has just had two starts over fences, remains with potential over fences on her handicap debut and is an interesting runner for Nicky Henderson. Ran poorly in the Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival so must prove her well being on her handicap chase debut.

Pont Aven doesn’t find much at the finish but needs to be respected on his 2^nd of 24 over C&D at the festival last time. Up 4lb for that effort and shouldn’t be far away again.

Jerandme wins more than his fair share of races and is 2-4 over fences. Looked to be travelling as well as anything coming to two out in a handicap chase over extended 3m here at the festival. The drop back in trip should suit and if the ground continues to dry out his chance is improved.

Verdict: Drying ground would see the consistent Jerandme go close. Preference though for Pont Aven and Optical Confusion.

1pt win – Optical Confusion – 8/1 @ Bet365

1pt win – Pont Aven – 11/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John

Hi all,

I’m back in the hot seat after my short break.

Ok, it’s not the most exciting of Saturday’s but we are just a week away from the Derby & Oaks and there going to be plenty of better punting opportunities in the coming weeks.

The ITV cameras are covering the best of the action from Haydock, Beverley & Chester.

Haydock

The going at Haydock is soft, good to soft in places.

1:45 – Betway Handicap (Class 3) – 6f

Capote’s Dream twice a winner at Kempton showed he could be as effective on turf when winning at Windsor (good) last time. Raised only 2lb for that success his coming from behind style of racing makes him dependent on a good pace to chase but it also means he doesn’t win his races by much which makes it hard for the handicapper to assess him. Soft ground is a bit of an unknown but if he handles it, he will go close.

Bielsa wasn’t beaten far when 5^th of 18 at York 17-days ago. Down to a winnable mark but doesn’t finding winning easy and has been a beaten favourite on both starts this season.

Cold Stare won this race in 2019 off 5lb higher. He wasn’t beaten far at Goodwood 8-days ago and is best suited to soft ground. Osin Murphy booked of the ride and a return to C&D is a positive.

Musicality seems ground versatile. Although the 4-year-old hasn’t really built on his Newmarket success last August he remains open to further improvement and will strip fitter for Ascot reappearance effort 22-days ago.

Bernardo O’Reilly finished three places and ¾ length behind Musicality at Ascot on his return to action. Down to his last winning mark the 7-year-old is suited to a strongly run 6f and although he’s not the most consistent of horses he shouldn’t be far away if building on his Ascot running.

The lightly raced Helvazia ended last season with an improved effort in Listed company at Goodwood and is interesting with Frankie Dettori booked for her seasonal return.

Hyperfocus is 3-5, 4 placed, over C&D and is at his best on soft ground. Should strip fitter for his York seasonal return 17-days ago and can’t be easily dismissed with conditions in his favour.

Verdict: Arguably the most competitive race of the day and you can make a strong case for six or seven of the 16 runners. Bielsa doesn’t find winning easy but shouldn’t be far away. Both Capote’s Dream & Bernardo O’Reilly need a strong pace to chase but if they get it won’t be far away.

1pt win – Capote’s Dream – 11/2 @ Coral & Bet365

1pt win – Bernardo O’Reilly – 11/1 @ Bet365 & Paddy Power

2:15 – Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) – 5f

El Astronaute showed his usual early speed when making all to win at Chester on his seasonal return. The 8-year-old often runs well on his seasonal return and must show he can back it up second time up. Will take the beating, if he can.

Aljady was a much-improved sprinter last season and although he has been at his very best on either start in 2021 shouldn’t be far away here.

Moss Gill wasn’t seen at his best in a Group 1 at Meydan over the winter. Last year’s best from brings him right into the mix and the first time cheekpieces are applied today. Best form so far has come at York but if the headgear has the desired effect, he will be in the mix.

Count D’orsay has a bit to find at the weights but is well suited to soft ground and course & distance, Could get into the frame but stall 10 is slightly off putting.

Tarboosh must give a 3lb penalty away but normally gives his running in these sorts of races and can’t be ruled out from what could be a handy draw in stall 5.

Verdict: The likely strong pace will suit Moss Gill and he could be the one to be with in an open looking race.

Beverley

The going at the East Yorkshire track is soft and the feature races on seven race card are for the juveniles. However, the most interesting race from a betting perspective is the 7 ½ handicap (3:45)

3:10 – Continental Two-Year-Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 2) -5f

The most interesting runner is the unraced 105,000 Gns breeze up purchase Straits Of Moyle. Trained by Richard Fahey, who won the last running of the race in 2019 for the same owners, the colt could be good enough to make a winning racecourse debut if handling the soft ground.

1pt win – Straits Of Moyle – 6/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

3:45 – bet365 Handicap (Class 3) – 7 ½ f

Sibaaq looked to have improved for a gelding operation when winning over C&D 45-days ago. From a family that go well with racing, he’s up just 4lb for last time and has handy draw in stall 3. Testing ground would be a concern but he can go close if handling it.

Give It Some Teddy looks to be working his way back to form and was a ½ length 4^th of 14 at Carlisle 12-days ago. Can race off the same mark here and is suited to the ground. Not sure if this track will play to the 7-year-old’s strengths but now below his last winning mark. Stablemate Cassy O won twice at Ayr last year and shaped like he could be competitive of this sort of mark 1 ¼ length 3^rd of 12 at Wetherby two starts back. Didn’t get the best of passages at York last time so that run is best forgiven. Not without an each-way chance if he can overcome stall 10.

Top-weight Queen’s Sargent is 1-1 over C&D and although the 6-year-old races off a career high mark can’t be ruled out in this company.

Verdict: Sibaaq is a worthy favourite but doubts about the ground mean he can be taken on. Queen’s Sargent holds no secrets from the handicapper but is consistent enough and Cassy O can do better than last time even though his draw isn’t ideal.

1pt win – Queen’s Sargent – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Chester

It’s good to soft at Chester and ITV are covering one race from the track this afternoon.

2:40 – tote+ Pays You More At tote.co.uk Handicap (Class 2) – 7 ½ f

Boardman is up 10lb for an impressive win at York 15-days ago. The rise in the weights shouldn’t be an issue but the question is whether his style of running is suited to Chester’s twists and turns. Good draw in stall 4 and he looks the one to beat in his hat trick bid.

Ejtilaab has run well on both starts this season, including when 3 ¼ length 5^th of 10 over C&D last time. At his best on a sound surface so drying ground is a positive and he should go well from stall 1.

Previous C&D winner Another Batt was on place behind Ejtilaab in that C&D race and has since returned to winning ways at Thirsk. Not the most consistent but a 5lb penalty isn’t insurmountable but stall 7 could be.

Alexander James must be respected on his first start for Mick Appleby and from a handy draw in stall 2.

King’s Knight a winner at Lingfield on his return from a 158-day break last month showed he remains in good form when a head 2^nd of 8 at Goodwood 28-days ago. Handicapper hasn’t made life easy for the 4-year-old raising him 6lb for his last time out effort and stall 8 could be better. Jim Crowley booked and he’s lightly raced so can’t be ruled out at track that should suit.

Verdict: Despite a hike in the weights Boardman is the one to beat but must break well from stall four if he’s to win. Ejtilaab is another with a good draw and drying ground makes him a serious contender. King’s Knight isn’t as well drawn as the other two but is respected given his present from.

2pts win – Boardman – 4/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John