Author: John Burke

Hi all,

I’m taking a pre-Royal Ascot break after a busy couple of months.  It’s time for a recharge of the batteries which have been operating on empty of late. I will be putting up some betting advice for Saturday’s racing, but the preview will be much shorter than normal.  I have a couple of selections running at Windsor who are well handicapped should they bounce back to form this evening.

Windsor

Windsor

6:45 – Live In The Moment wasn’t disgraced when a 5 ¾ length 8^th of 20 in Saturday’s Dash at Epsom. However, he continues to run well below his best of last season’s form. The going was good to soft at the time of writing but plenty of rain was forecast for Sunday evening. His best from last year came on good ground but he did twice on soft ground in 2020 so underfoot conditions should hold no terrors for him. This represents a big drop-in class for the 5-year-old and if he isn’t inconvenienced by the quick turnaround could be the answer here.

1pt win – Live In The Moment – 5/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

7:15 – Hyanna – A formerly useful handicapper but she’s is on a losing run that goes back 2-years. Now well below her last winning mark which came over C&D in June 2020. The mare has been struggling to reproduce her best both last season and so far, this. Has struggled to settle on her last two starts so hopes are pinned on the first time cheekpieces having the desired effect and the booking of Tom Marquand for the first time.  Very well treated if bouncing back to form and although her best efforts have arguably come on good to firm, she did run well on both soft & heavy ground earlier in her career.

1pt win – Hyanna – 17/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John

Hi all,

The biggest race in Europe is across the Channel with the latest running of the Qatar Prix du Jockey Club (French Derby) at Chantilly. The 1m 2 ½ f race has attracted a field of fifteen colts who are headed by the Charlie Appleby trained Modern Games.

Chantilly

3:00 – Qatar Prix du Jockey Club (Group 1) – 1m 2 ½ f

Modern Games bids to follow up his recent Poule d’Essai des Poulains (French 2,000 Guineas) success. He isn’t guaranteed but should stay today’s extra 2 ½ f’s but he doesn’t have as good a draw as he did at Longchamp. I think at his present odds at around 5/2 he’s worth taking on especially as there are some highly regarded French colts in the field.

Roman Empire was 2 lengths back in fourth in the France 2,000 Guineas but seems like he will be suited by the step up in trip.  Lassaut was further ¾ length back in fifth. His sire Almanzor won the French Derby and his dam’s sire won at Epsom. He was doing his best work at the finish that day. Of the two who finished in front of him at Longchamp. He looks the one capable of most improvement for the step up in trip and has a better draw than the favourite in 8.

Al Hakeem goes well at Chantilly having won on his three visits to the track. He only won a Listed race last time, but he’s open to plenty more improvement and connections have already compared him to Sottsass who won this race and the Arc. His stablemate Vadeni also comes into the reckoning after his comfortable success in a Group 3 here over 1m 1f last month. The son of Churchill has plenty of stamina on the dam side to think that today’s extra furlong can help bring out further progress in the colt who looks to have a handy draw low draw in stall 2.

Onesto improved for the step up to today’s trip when winning a Group 2 at Saint-Cloud last month. He will need to have improved again to win today but more progression does seem likely, and he did produce a good turn of foot to win last time.

Verdict: I really liked the claims of Onesto but stall 14 isn’t ideal and the son of Frankel will need plenty of luck in the run if he’s to prevail. I have concentrated on the Jean-Claude Rouget trio of Al Hakeem, Vadeni and Lassaut with a slight preference for the first named.

Musselburgh

The Sky Bet Sunday series heads to Musselburgh with the Listed Queen of Scots Stakes (5.45) the feature contest of seven-race card and there are five competitive handicaps. 

4:16 – Irish raider Only Spoofing will be popular after yesterday’s 1 ¾ length 3^rd of 13 in a better race over C&D. Not sure about his draw in stall 3 though. Rory comes into the race in good form. This previous C&D winner built on a recent second over C&D when coming from behind to win at Hamilton 11-days ago. Only up 2lb for his latest win, he’s got a decent draw in 11 and the likely strong pace will suit the 4-year-old.

5:15 – Geremia was 2 lengths behind Evaluation when third to that one in a York 2m handicap two weeks ago. The latter has been well placed to win his last three starts but a 4lb pull in the weights should enable Geremia who didn’t get the best of runs in the straight that day to get closer.

5:45 – Pearl Glory went close in a Group 3 at Lingfield last time and was suited by 7f that day.  The filly looks the one to beat but her wide draw means she maybe dropped in a race without much forecast pace. Snooze N You Lose produced an improved effort when a ½-length 2nd of 11 on her handicap debut at York last time. Looks the likely pace angle here and should go well from a handy low draw. Preference though is for the lightly raced filly Morag McCullagh. A half sister to the useful James Garfield won at Kempton on her seasonal return and then followed up with an excellent effort when a 1¾ length 3rd of 12 in a Chelmsford Listed race last time. She didn’t get the best of runs 1f out that day and would have finished closer with a clearer passage. Just the three career start for the 3-year-old who looks open to more progress than her main rivals.

6:15 – Top-weight Tamaska has been in excellent form this season with form figures of 4112. He was just touched off at York last time but has been raised a further 5lb. Decent draw in stall 1 but can’t afford a slow start as has occurred on his last two starts. Stablemate Starshiba hasn’t not shown much on either start since switching to David O’Meara including when 10^th of 20 behind Tamaska last time. He’s well treated and will likely pop up one day.

Danzan was 2 ¾ length behind in 4^th in that York race. He’s on a long losing run but is another well handicapped horse when all the cards fall right. Tommy G is a three time winner at Musselburgh in the past. His last two wins at the venue have come over two furlongs further, including two starts back. Looked in need of further when a length 4th of 6, over a mile at Ayr last Monday. Needs a strong gallop which he should get and will be doing his best work at the finish. Yard going very well and could be set for a good day.

6:45 – A very tricky 1m 4 ½ f handicap concludes the card and Jim Goldie has three lively inform contenders in Grand Canal, Graces Quest, and Wickywickywheels.

Grand Canal beat two rivals at Ayr on Monday. He might be better over further but should give a good account. Graces Quest won a seller over C&D last summer and a handicap two starts back. The filly showed she remains in form when a length third of 9 at Ayr last Monday. She was doing her best work at the end of that 1m 2f handicap and will be suited to a return to today’s trip. Wickywickywheels showed much improved form when winning on just her third start since switching to the yard when winning at Hamilton last month. The filly came from a very unpromising position 1f out that day to get up close to home. Up 4lb for that success but had more in hand at the finish than her winning margin suggests and could follow up over today’s extra 1 ½ f.

Emararty Hero was in good form last Aug/September winning handicaps over C&D and York. Went close on his first two starts this season and not disgraced when a 3 ¼ length 5th of 17 at York (2m ½ f) last time. Drop back in trip looks a plus and he’s got a handy draw in stall 2 should a return to positive tactics be employed. El Picador won over C&D in April and was a bit unlucky not to finish closer when a 2 ½ f 3^rd of 13 at York on his next start. You can forgive his last run at York as he completely missed the start. Not ruled out with Ryan Sexton taking off a handy 5lb. Sulochana is a consistent handicapper, but she hasn’t won since her first two starts of last season and is still 5lb above her last winning mark. The mare is likely to give her running but is vulnerable from a win perspective.

Betting Advice:

Chantilly

3:00 – 1pt win – Al Hakeem – 11/2 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

Musselburgh

4:16 – 1pt win – Rory – 11/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

5:15 – 1pt win – Geremia – 3/1 – Gen

6:45 – 1pt win – Wickywickywheels – 6/1 @ Bet365 and 1pt win – Graces Quest – 13/2 @ Bet365 & Coral

Cheers

John

Hi all,

The highlight of the week and for some the flat season the Cazoo Derby (4.30) where Desert Crown will bid to become the first Dante winner since Golden Horn in 2015 to follow up in the Derby. It’s good to see the race will be run in memory of Lester Piggott. It’s a fantastic gesture given he was so synonymous with race during his long career.

Sir Michael Stoute has won the Derby five times including for Desert Crown’s owner Saeed Suhail with Kris Kin in 2003. Aidan O’Brien is the leading trainer in Derby history with eight wins. He comes into this year’s renewal race with a three strong team led by Stone Age.

There are also two Group 3 races on the Epsom card the Princess Elizabeth Stakes (2:35) and the Cazoo Diomed Stakes (3:10). Add in four big field handicaps the highlight being the 20-runner Epsom ‘Dash’ and you have the makings of a cracking day’s sport.

Cazoo Epsom Derby Day

There are mixed messages on the weather front for Derby Day. The BBC Weather app is saying light rain overnight and in the morning. On the other hand, the Norwegian Weather app I use was on Friday morning predicting as much as 12mm of the wet stuff. However, by Friday evening it was suggesting just 4mm. If the former turns out be correct then we’ll be looking at good to soft, maybe even soft ground. So, you pay your money, and you take your chance. I have one that I like in the last at Epsom in Punchbowl Flyer but soft ground is essential if he’s to have a serious chance.

All in all, I would be tempted to leave your bets until you know what’s happened weather wise at Epsom. That’s not something as I tipster that’s not an option for me especially as I’m having to send this out on Friday evening.

2:00 – Cazoo Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

The field sizes for the Epsom handicaps have stood up well and this is no exception with 15 declared.

Mr Big Stuff was unlucky not to finish closer when a 3 ½ length 5^th of 12 in the London Gold Cup at Newbury. He didn’t get the best of passages in the final 2f and with better luck in the run today shouldn’t be far away.

War Horse had Nolton Cross 1 ½ length back in third when winning at Sandown 16-days ago. The winner had race fitness on his side that and gets a 2lb pull in the weights which entitles him to get closer here. That said the winner responded well to the first time cheekpieces and may have improvement in him.

Taj Alola is more exposed, but he posted a career best in RPR’s when ¾ length 2^nd of 7 at Ripon last month. The first time cheekpieces he wore that day are replaced by the first-time visor. He shouldn’t be far away if the change in headgear has the desired effect.

Swilcan Bridge has a tricky draw in stall 12 to negotiate and is 4lb out of the handicap but he’s going the right way as he showed when a head 2nd of 9 at Goodwood last time. Trainer Andrew Balding is 2-8, 3 placed with his runners in the race since 2010.

The next two races are not ones I have looked at in much detail.

2:35 – Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Cazoo) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) – 1m ½ f

Majestic Glory was a useful juvenile winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera at Newmarket last August. The 3-year-old made a pleasing seasonal reappearance with a 1 ¾ length 3rd of 12 to Wild Beauty in the Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury. She finished her race off well over 7f last time and should be suited by return to mile. I’m not sure whether she wants soft ground though but if its good ground she would be the pick.

3:10 – Cazoo Diomed Stakes (Group 3) – 1m ½ f

A more confident pick here in Mutasaabeq as any ease in the ground will suit.  He handled soft ground very well when winning at Thirsk on his seasonal return. Looked unlucky when unlucky a neck 2^nd of 6 to Lights On in a Group 2 at Sandown last time. There’s a Group race to be won the colt this season and hopefully it will be today.

3:45 – Simpex Express ‘Dash’ Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) – 5f

A maximum field of 20 for this downhill cavalry charge. The one certainty is this race will be run at a furious pace. That will suit last year’s winner Mokaatil who is 5lb higher this time around, but Harry Davies does take off a handy 5lb. The 7-year-old won over C&D in April and has now won on his last three visits to the track.  Given his record here and the likely pace of the race then he can’t be ruled out.

Looking at the ten-year trends to create a manageable shortlist:

Stall: Not 3 to 8

Handicap Runs: 8 to 31

Track Last Time: Not Epsom, Goodwood, Newmarket (Rowley)

Going Last Time: Not Heavy, soft or all-weather

9 winners from 54 runners +97.5 19 placed

Using the above trends leaves just four qualifiers King Of Stars, Sunday Sovereign, Tees Spirit & Mid Winster.

Shortlist

The well fancied Stone of Destiny passes three of the four trends but had his last run at Goodwood. He finished a 1 ¾ length 3^rd of 16 to Mokaatil 12 months ago. He was unlucky in the run last year and he might well have won but for that. He’s 10lb lower this time around and although he was disappointing at Goodwood last time this has been likely the plan and he’s two well handicapped to ignore.

King Of Stars is a very useful 5f sprint handicapper at this best. He will be sharper for his first start for 3 months when a 4 ¾ length 4th of 9 to stablemate Raasel in a Listed race at Haydock last Saturday.

Sunday Sovereign can win this, but he be can very inconsistent. The 5-year-old was on a going day when a neck 2nd of 12 to Illusionist at York 14-days ago. He’s well suited to rain softened ground so if the rain arrives it won’t inconvenient him.

Tees Spirit has returned to action looking a much-improved handicapper, winning both this season’s starts at Beverley and Nottingham.  Up 6lb in a much better race but he’s going the right way and the hat trick bid is very much on. Although soft ground would be unknown for the 4-year-old.

Mid Winster returned to winning ways when dropped back to 5f at Catterick 7 days ago. The mare is now 5lb higher but should remain competitive. Probably wouldn’t want the ground to ease too much before the race as she’s 0-7, 0 places on soft or yielding ground. Trainer Paul Midgley has saddled the winner twice since 2015.

4:30 – Cazoo Derby (In Memory Of Lester Piggott) (Group 1) – 1m 4f

Despite the presence of a short-priced favourite in Desert Crown the race has attracted a big field of 17 colts.

It wouldn’t surprise me if Desert Crown won comfortably and if he was drift out to around 5/2, he would be an interesting betting proposition too.  

I can see Stone Age taking it up two furlongs from home and it could be a case of whether the Stoute can pass him inside the final furlong. Despite the big field I think the front two in the betting have strong credentials.

Given the possibility of rain you can see why Aidan O’Brien’s Chester Vase soft ground winner Changingofteguard has been well backed in the last few days. He also gets the addition of the first time cheekpieces today which could bring out more improvement in the colt. Stablemate Star Of India relished the step up to 1m 2f when winning the Dee Stakes at Chester last time. He’s only had three starts so is capable of better if he stays today’s extra two furlongs. He looks the each-way value of the race at around 16/1. Both O’Brien colts haven’t got the best of draws out wide although Star Of India in particular looks worth an each way play.

5:15 – World Pool Northern Dancer Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 4f

Mascat and Solent Getaway were separated by a neck when second & third over C&D in April. The first named has since gone on to run just as well again when 3^rd of 16 at Ascot. Meanwhile Solent Getaway failed to settle and ran poorly when well fancied for the Chester Cup last time. Better can be expected back at a track where he’s won at before.

Midnight Legacy won this race 12 months ago, from 3lb lower. Back from a couple runs over hurdles in the Spring. On a handy mark back on the flat and William Buick who rode him to last year’s success is back in the saddle for the first time since.

Boss Power has looked a better horse on the all-weather than turf, but he was an eye-catching 7 ¼ lengths 7th of 16, 1 ¼ lengths behind Mascat at Ascot last time. He didn’t get as clear a passage in the straight as Mascat that day and shouldn’t be far away if the ground is good or better.

If the rain arrives three who will be suited areAaddeey, Farhanand Winter Reprise.

Aaddeey had no problem with soft ground when winning at Doncaster last October. He compromised his chance when slowly away on his return to action when a 3 length 6th of 10 at Kempton in April. Will need luck in the run from stall one but is in the mix.

Farhan looked a progressive middle distance handicapper when winning the November Handicap (soft) at Doncaster. The 4-year-old shaped with encouragement when finishing 2 ¾ length 4^th of 10 just ahead of Boss Power (5^th) and Aaddeey (6^th) at Kempton on his return to action. A disappointing 11/8 favourite when only 5^th of 6 at Hamilton 22-days ago. Capable of bouncing back if handling the track.

Winter Reprise was only beaten a neck on his seasonal return at Saint-Cloud last month. Has stamina to prove on his return to 1m 4f. Any rain will be welcome and he does hail from the shrewd  David Menuisier yard so can’t be discounted.

5:50 – JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap (Class 2) – 6f

Commanche Falls a four time winner last season, including the Stewards Cup at Goodwood, made a solid reappearance, when ½ length 2^nd of 4 at Doncaster. It’s a first runner for trainer Michael Dods at Epsom in the past five years.

Musicka returned to form out of the blue at the end of 2021 winning three times on the all-weather. Hasn’t been in much form so far this year but is 7lb lower than when finishing a neck runner-up in last year’s race.

if the rain arrives in a sufficient amount, then Punchbowl Flyer comes into contention. Back down to 6f here after a better effort over 7f last time. He’s now 4lb below last season’s last winning mark and could be set for a big run if the ground eases significantly.

Regional a winner on his handicap debut and first start for Edward Bethall at Haydock (good to firm) last August. Has run respectably on all four starts since, including when runner-up in a Group 2 in Qatar in February. Could be capable of better as a 4-year-old but soft ground would be an unknown.

Alligator Alley shaped well on both starts since switching to David O’Meara and returning from a long absence. Not so good last time when only 10^th of 12 at York (good to soft) last time though. Today’s extra furlong and soft ground as ask further questions of the 5-year-old.

Betting Advice:

I have selections in five of the seven races on Derby Day.

Epsom

2:00 – 1pt win – War Horse -8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes and 1pt win – Nolton Cross – 6/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

3:45 – 1pt win – Tees Spirit – 12/1 @ Bet365 and 1pt win – Sunday Sovereign – 14/1 @ Bet365

4:30 – 1pt each way – Star Of India – 16/1 @ Bet365 (paying 4 places 1/5 odds)

5:15 – 1pt win – Aaddeey – 7/1 – Gen and 1pt win – Mascat – 7/1 @ Bet365

5:50 – 1pt win – Musicka -16/1 @ Bet365 and 1pt win – Commanche Falls – 13/2 @ Bet365

Cheers

John

Hi all,

The Cazoo Derby Festival gets underway this afternoon.  It’s a seven-race card at Epsom for Oaks Day. Besides the two Group 1 feature races There’s a good mix of racing with the three handicaps all attracting 14 plus runners.  You can watch the best of the action from Epsom on ITV.

It’s good to soft, good in places at Epsom. However, it was forecast to be dry on Thursday and its set to be dry and mainly sunny today.

In today’s preview I have had a look at six of the seven Epsom races.

Epsom Cazoo Oaks Day

2:00 – Cazoo Woodcote British EBF Stakes (Conditions Race) (Class 2) – 6f

likely favourite Commander Straker sets the standard after making all to win at Bath last time. However, he doesn’t have the best of draws out wide in stall 12. Estate was runner-up to the favourite at Bath and is open to further improvement.

Ralph Beckett is 3-8 with his juveniles at the track in the past 5-years. He saddles Keep Bidding who shaped nicely on her Nottingham racecourse debut and is another open to plenty of progress on just her second start. Mick Channon trained Chilworth Icon to win this in 2012 and had the runner-up in 2013. He saddles

Legend Of Xanadu who got off the mark at the 4^th attempt when comfortably winning over 6f at Redcar 8-days ago. William Buick who has a 24%-win strike rate at Epsom and rode the colt last time stays in the saddle.  It was good to soft at Redcar so he should be fine on today’s ground.

2:35 – World Pool Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 1 ½ f

The first of three competitive handicaps. Corazon Espinado won this race 12 months off a 1lb lower mark. He’s won four times at Epsom and his form figures over C&D are 1231.  Silvestre De Sousa has won on the 7-year-old in the past is in the saddle. Each way claims, despite an awkward draw in 16, for a yard who had a welcome winner this week.  Hollie Doyle who won on Corazon Espinado 12 months ago rides Excel Power for Archie Watson. He’s won his last two on good to firm and is a perfect 3-3 at around a mile after his latest success at Windsor. Nicely drawn in stall 5 and has a clear chance despite a 6lb rise in the weights.  

Revich goes well at Chester and looked as good as ever when a ½-length 3rd of 10 at that venue last month. He can be a tricky ride, but the forecast strong pace will suit, and he did win on his only start at Epsom.

Rover Varian’s older runners at Epsom are always worth considering as the trainer is 5 -12 42% +13.75 with his 4-year-old & older horses in the past 5-years. All five were also ridden by Andrea Azteni 5-8 + 17.75. The pair combine with Fantastic Fox who finished 3 ¾ lengths behind Excel Power on his Haydock seasonal reappearance. He get’s a handy 7lb pull in the weights with winner today and should be sharper here.

Seasett would probably prefer softer ground, but the drying ground will suit Variyann. He’s back from a 294-day absence but his form figures after 121+ layoff are 12. Stall 15 isn’t ideal for a prominent racer, but he can’t be ruled out.  Totally Charming has been in good form on the all-weather this year. Looked progressive when winning at Lingfield in March. If he proves to be as good on turf as the synthetics, he won’t be far away off 4lb higher.

3:10 – Dahlbury Coronation Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) – 1m 4f

Last year’s winner Pyledriver is the one to beat but I’m going to take him on with High Definition who can win this if he backs up his recent second in the Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup (1m 2 ½ f) at the Curragh.

3:45 – Cazoo Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

Another competitive handicap and can make solid claims for half of the 14 runners. Soto Sizzler loves it around here, not been out of the first two on five starts, winning three of them. The latest of those wins came over C&D in April. The likely strong pace will suit, and the 7-year-old has excellent claims from stall 3.

Moktasaab is seeking the hat trick after wins at Newbury and latterly Goodwood. He looked on the upgrade and should remain competitive off today’s 5lb higher mark. Caradoc was 1 ¼ length behind Moktasaab at Goodwood two starts back. He’s since shown he remain inform when an unlucky in the run 4 length 4^th of 6 at Nottingham 12 -days ago. He gets 5lb from Moktasaab and is entitled to get closer to that one today.

Cap Francais has returned to action in great form. He ended a long losing run when winning at Newmarket and has since gone onto finish a length 2^nd of 7 to Baryshnikov at Chester. The harder they go up front the better for the 6-year-old. He can race off the same mark as at Chester which gives him a serious chance here.  Love Is Golden finished 5 ¼ lengths behind Soto Sizzler in April but gets a 6lb pull here. The 4-year-old posted clear to a personal best when a ¾ length 3^rd of 10 at York last month.  Just 1lb higher and looks on a winnable mark.   

4:30 – Cazoo Oaks (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) (Class 1) – 1m 4f

Emily Upjohn has been a strong favourite for this after her comfortable success in the Group 3 Musidora Stakes at York last time. Her stablemate Nashwa produced a good turn of foot to win at Newbury Listed race last time. I didn’t think she was crying out for 1m 4f at Newbury but if she stays, then this exciting filly has a good chance of giving Hollie Doyle a first classic success. The Gosden yard has won this three times since 2014 and a solid chance of making it four.

Aidan O’Brien has won the Oaks six times since 2012 and he has four off the 11 declared runners. Tuesday has placed in the English & Irish 1,000 Guineas and should be suited by the step up to 1m 4f. The pick of Ryan Moore. Concert Hall was ½ length behind her stablemate at the Curragh. Her dam won the Oaks in 2012 so the track and distance should suit her well. I thought she was stronger at the finish than Tuesday last time, although that one is arguably open to more improvement. The Algarve was well behind Emily Upjohn at York and could be used as a pacemaker here. The final O’Brien runner is Thoughts Of June. With that name she would be a very apt winner of the race. The daughter of Gallileo looked a much-improved filly stepped up to 1m 3 ½ f when making all to beat Above The Curve in the Cheshire Oaks last time. The runner-up has gone onto win a Group 1 at Longchamp so the form of the Chester race looks good. She looked an uncomplicated She’s a straightforward filly, capable of better still, ride when making all at Chester and I don’t think we have seen the best of her. I think she’s the overpriced of the Ballydoyle quartet.

Only one trainer has managed to win the Oaks since 2012 and that’s Ralph Beckett. He saddles Moon De Vega who was 6 ½ lengths behind Thoughts Of June in the Cheshire Oaks. However, she was badly hampered when making her effort 2f out that day. The rain that fell this week is a positive and she has each way claims.

With The Moonlight stormed home to win the Listed Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket last time. The time was good and the daughter of Frankel very much in the picture, if the ground continues to dry out and she handles the track.

Verdict: It looks like Gosden & O’Brien shoot out and I will be surprised if they don’t have the winner. Of the Gosden pair, I just prefer Nashwa although she will probably want the ground to dry out further.  I know Thoughts of June got the run of the race at Chester and won’t be able to dominate as she did last time, but I think she’s a got a better chance than her odds suggest. Of the rest Moon De Vega could get into the places at big odds.

5:45 – Cazoo Derby Festival Handicap (Class 2) – 7f

A maximum field of 17 for a tricky concluding handicap. Nuvolari is the least exposed of the field. The 3-year-old won over C&D on his racecourse debut last season and put in a career best effort when a 2 ¼ length 4th of 11 at Goodwood two weeks ago. He wasn’t well placed after a slow start that day but did best of those to come off the pace. He’s likely capable of better and has nice light weight.  Could get the race run to suit and trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has a decent record with her 3-year-old handicappers at the track being 4-17 in the last five years.

Lightly-raced C&D winner who took a step forward when fourth of 11 in 1m handicap at Goodwood (good to soft) 14 days ago, despite not being ideally placed. Likely has more to come and must be of interest. Could get the race run to suit.

Saleymm runner-up in the Lincoln Handicap bounced back from a below par run at Newbury when a length 2nd of 11 to Shine So Bright at Newmarket (7F) 20-days ago. Top-weight of 10-2 and a wide draw in stall 12 to overcome but a useful apprentice takes off 5lb and there’s a decent pot in the 4-year-old.

Top Secret a useful 7f handicapper, won twice at Ascot over 7f last season. Quick ground suits the 5-year-old and she should be all the better for his recent nose 2nd of 7 at Newbury on his seasonal return.

in a better race than he need contest after 8 months off (2 lb out of weights), proved at least as good as ever; in touch, headway around 2f out, quickened to lead 1f out and looked sure to collect (traded at 1.05) but headed line; he’s best up to this trip and should continue to give a good account.

Danny Tudhope opts for Darkness ahead of the other David O’Meara runner Orbaan but it’s the latter I prefer. Orbaan is on a losing run that goes back nearly two years but is 13lb lower. He ran better than his 3 ½ lengths 9th of 20 at York last time suggests. Not for the first time he was going well when not getting the clearest of runs 2f out. A strongly run 7f would be a minimum for the 7-year-old and this track may not suit but he’s a well handicapped horse when all the cards fall right.

Tintoretto races in the reapplied blinkers and its worth noting he won he won first time up in them last season.  The 7-year-old is down to his last winning mark and 7f is his trip.  

Lord Rapscallion is coming down the weights and was fourth of 10 in last year’s race, off 10lb higher. He is however, 0-17 since joining his present trainer and hasn’t looked in form on either start this season. On a Session finished one place and ½ length ahead of Lord Rapscallion 12 months ago. He’s a more of the pair and has been in better recent form but is 7lb worse off with that one today. Long losing run to overcome but could get into the places from a handy low draw.

Betting Advice

Epsom

2:35 – 1pt win – Revich – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes and 1pt win – Fantastic Fox – 10/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

3:45 – 1pt win – Soto Sizzler – 6/1 – Gen and 1pt win – Cap Francais -9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

4:30 – 1pt win – Thoughts Of June – 14/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes and 1pt win – With The Moonlight – 14/1 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

5:45 – 1pt win – Nuvolari – 5/1 – Gen

Cheers

John

Hi all,

The Queen’s Platinum Jubilee Bank Holiday Weekend gets underway with some decent racing including the Racing TV Zetland Gold Cup (4.45) and the Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Clyde Handicap (2.36). There’s also Listed action at Leopardstown with the Glencairn Stakes (6:15) along with the King George V Cup (7.20).  I have selections in both races and there’s also one from this afternoon meeting at Leicester.

Redcar

4:45 – Racing TV Zetland Gold Cup Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

Twelve have been declared for this year’s race. With front runners like Forest Falcon, Pride Of American and Cockalorum in the line-up there should be a decent pace. Of those likely to be ridden prominently the preference would be for Forest Falcon who produced a personal best when a neck 2^nd of 8 to Bollin Joan at Ripon 7-days ago. Yard won this in 2015 & 2016.

James Doyle heads North to ride a couple for Hughie Morrison including Stay Well. The 4-year-old stays 1m 4f but he’s equally effective over 1m 2f.  There was plenty to like about his return from a 6-month absence when a head 2nd of 10 to Belloccio at Kempton in April. He’s up 4lb for that effort but should be nicely placed tracking the leaders and remains one to be interested in.

Lightening Company won a handicap here over a mile two starts back. The 4-year-old shaped better than his 3 ½ length 5^th of 13 to Cruyff Turn at York last time. He didn’t get a clear run 2f out that day but once in the clear finished his race off well. Mixed messages on pedigree but there’s a good chance he will stay 1m 2f.

Baryshnikov has won both starts this season but he’s 3lb higher than when successful at Chester last time. He’s also 10lb higher than when 5^th in this race last season but can’t be ruled out given his present form

Turntable looks competitively weighted on his first start beyond 1m 1f. A good ½-length 2^nd of 9 at Newmarket on his seasonal reappearance. A strongly run 1m 2f could stretch is stamina though.

Tim Easterby has a couple of live contenders in Bollin Joan & Highwaygrey and I think the trainer holds the key to the race. The first named come into the race in tremendous form having won her last two starts at York & Ripon. She’s in foal and although she has a 4lb penalty to carry for her Ripon win and another big run could be forthcoming. Highwaygrey is arguably the best handicapped horse in the race. He failed to stay 1m 4f at York last time, but the 6-year-old is better over 1m 2f and is 11lb lower than when a strong finishing 1 ¾ length 4^th of 14 in last year’s race.

Verdict: Forest Falcon will face competition for the lead but given his present form must be respected as does Lightening Company on first start beyond a mile on the flat. Stay Well is feared as is the in-foal mare Bollin Joan and the well handicapped Highwaygrey.  

1pt win – Highwaygrey – 6/1 @ Bet365 and 1pt win – Bollin Joan – 9/1 – Gen.

Hamilton

2:36 – I’m A Gambler comes into this 6f handicap in tremendous form. He stayed the 7f at Beverley strongly when winning at the East Riding venue just five days ago. Has a 5lb penalty to carry for that success but will be tough to beat. He won over C&D early last month and shouldn’t be inconvenienced by the return to sprinting. For all his obvious claims I’m going with the Rathbone who also comes into the race in rude health. The 6-year-old beat three rivals at Doncaster two starts and showed he remained in form when a short head 2^nd of 12 to Tinto at Thirsk 19-days ago. The winner went in at Ripon yesterday, so the form of that Thirsk race looks solid. Up 2lb for his latest effort but remains on a competitive and was only beaten a neck in this race 12 months ago.

1pt win – Rathbone – 5/1 – Gen.

Leicester

1:35 – A 3-year-old fillies’ only handicap with a small field but plenty of the runners having the scope to be better than their marks. One such filly is Go Beyond who made a pleasing enough handicap debut when a 2 ½ length 2^nd of 10 at Haydock last month. The step up to 1m 4f seemed to enable her to take a big step forward last time. It was soft ground at Haydock so today’s underfoot conditions shouldn’t worry the selection.

1pt win – Go Beyond – 8/1 @ Bet365.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Well, we ended the month with an early priced advised 12/1 winner in Chocquinto at Tipperary yesterday evening. I thought the mare was over-priced at her early morning odds and so it proved as she was returned a more realistic 15/2. Still, it was a poor month for the service. Things can only get better in June.

Just two days until the start of the Cazoo Derby Festival and there’s some decent racing across Britain & Ireland today in particular the Curragh this evening.

Curragh

6:45 – Loveday was a speedy juvenile with some excellent form prior to winning a Cork 5f (good to firm) maiden last July. She was placed in two listed races on her final two starts. Seasonal reappearance today but trainer saddled the winner of this in 2019.

Ano Syra started the year with a win at Dundalk and then followed up on her handicap debut at Naas in April. Ran just as well when 1 ½ length 4th of 15 back at the same venue last time. Drops back to the minimum trip today which may not suit. However, she in form and the yard are among the winners.

Beautiful Sunshine was twice a winner over 5f when trained by George Boughey. Raced over 7f/1m on her first three starts this season since switching to her present yard. Much better when a ¾-length 2nd of 17 here over 6f last time. Nudged up 2lb for that effort but could be suited by the drop back to 5f and Jake Coen takes off a handy 7lb.

1pt win – Beautiful Sunshine -15/2 @Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

Ripon

6:35 – City Walk won at Chelmsford 18-days ago. He has enough in hand that day to think he can remain competitive off 6lb higher mark. However, he’s never run at Ripon before, and I like horses who have shown an aptitude for its undulations.

Fortamour won over C&D last month and although he’s 5lb higher now can be ruled out here. However, preference is for Mark’s Choice. The 6-year-old was 3 lengths behind Fortamour last time, but he missed the start and can have his effort marked up. He get’s a 6lb pull with the winner and provided he gets off on level terms this time should be a lot closer this evening.

Bossipop ran well at Musselburgh two starts back but was found out in Class 2 company when last of seven at Chester last month. This will suit the 9-year-old better and he’s on a competitive mark when he gets his own way out in front.

Huddle Up looked in need of his first start for the David & Nicola Barron when 7^th of 9 at Thirsk. He’ll strip fitter for that run but may need softer ground, with his best form when trained by William McCreery coming on soft/heavy ground.

At the prices Mark’s Choice looks the value pick.

1pt win – Mark’s Choice – 10/1 @ Bet365

Cheers

John

Hi all,

The month finally comes to an end and hopefully we can end it with a winner. The best race of the day is the Mayo National (6:35) at Ballinrobe.  I have selections from Ballinrobe and one in the 5f handicap at Tipperary (7:15).

Ballinrobe

5:35 – Enniskerry was in good form in novice hurdle company last summer winning at Downpatrick and Roscommon before finishing a ½ length 2^nd of 10 to the useful M C Muldoon at the Galway Festival.  Returned from a 7 month absence with an eyecatching enough effort when an 8 length eighth of 16 at Fairyhouse in February on his handicap hurdle debut. Looks on a competitive mark for first start beyond an extended 2m 4 ½ f but on pedigree he should be suited by 3m. His best form has come on a sound surface so hopefully the ground won’t ease too much before post time.

1pt win – Enniskerry – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

6:35 – McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Grade B) – 2m 7f

Max Flamingo took six races to get off the mark over fences. However, he’s now won two out of his last three starts over the larger obstacles. Top-weight to carry here but he’s got a touch of class and comes into the race in great form. Wouldn’t want the ground to get too quick so any bit of ease will suit. He’s the one to beat. Ilikedwayurthinkin went close in a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree last month. The 8-year-old won twice over fences last autumn, including a beginners chase over C&D in September. Jumping let him down on subsequent starts in handicap company. If he can get his jumping together, he can win a decent pot over fences off his present mark. Jackson’s Gold was a progressive handicap hurdler last Spring. Not at that level of form over fences and remains a maiden after seven starts. Best effort so far over the larger obstacles when a 1¾ length 2nd of 13 here over 2m 1f last time. Step up in trip is a positive and he did stay 3m over hurdles.  I’m going with Jackson’s Gold here. However, I wouldn’t put anyone off Max Flamingo who could be worth saver if the odds allow.

1pt win – Jackson’s Gold – 8/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes.

1pt win – Max Flamingo – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Tipperary

7:15 – Moss Tucker, a C&D handicap winner, last October made promising seasonal return when 3^rd of 22 at Curragh (6f). Hasn’t really kicked on his next two starts over 7f and back 6f last time. Hopes are pinned on a return to C&D to see him bounce back to form.  A prominent race he could get the race run to suit and looks on a competitive mark. At around 5/2 he would be interesting but not a best priced 7/4. One that looks overpriced is Chocquinto. The mare hit form last June winning twice at Down Royal the latter of those wins coming from 3lb lower. Yet to win on her five starts over C&D but she was a ¾ length 3^rd of 12 over C&D (Good to firm) last July, off 6lb higher. A reproduction of that run would see the mare go very close here. Quick ground suits and she will be sharper for her recent run in Listed company. She’s the pick ahead of the favourite Moss Tucker.

1pt win – Chocquinto – 12/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Good luck with your Tuesday bets.

John

Hi all,

I have three selections from this evening’s meeting at Windsor.

Windsor

6:10 – Shobiz prevailed in a tight finish at Goodwood two starts back. He wasn’t as good in a better race over C&D last time but he’s better than he was able to show that day and should do better. The forecast quick ground is a slight concern though which means the pick is Spring Bloom. The selection doesn’t possess the best of strike rates 1-18, sole win came as a juvenile, but the has placed on no less than 12 occasions. He produced a much better effort in the reapplied cheekpieces last time when a 1 ¼ length 2^nd of 10 over C&D. James Doyle up for the first time and although the gelding needs all the cards to fall right, he wouldn’t be winning out of turn.

1pt win – Spring Bloom – 13/2 @ Bet365

6:40 – A Sure Welcome wins his share of races and made it 2-4 over C&D when winning here last July off 4lb higher. The 8-year-old race like he would come on for his first start for seven months when a 6 ¼ lengths 4th of 11 here over 6f two weeks ago. He’s ground versatile and has dropped down to a winnable mark.

1pt win – A Sure Welcome – 9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

7:10 – Jewel In The Crown was a progressive handicapper last season winning three of her seven starts. She ran like she would be better for run when an 8-length 4th of 6 at Brighton last month and better is expected from the 4-year-old. Preference though is for the Tom Dascombe trained Miramichi who was equally progressive last season, landing a quick ground, four timer between June & July. The 4-year-old caught the eye on his seasonal return when a 7-length 4th of 10 at York 17-days ago. Not given a hard race that day and should be sharper for that run. Trainer has yet to saddle a winner since moving to his new yard but hopefully that will change today.

1pt win – Miramichi – 5/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John

Hi all,

A dreadful month for the service, since day 2 of the Chester May Festival, all the more disappointing given the previous four months have been profitable.  I for one can’t wait for the new month to start.

In more race planning nonsense, there are no flat cards today in Britain but there are three jumps’ fixtures. Surely there are not enough summer jumping horses for three meetings. You couldn’t make this foolishness up.

The best of today’s action is across the Channel at Longchamp where there are two Group 1 races the Prix Saint-Alary (2:45) and the Prix d’Ispahan (3:25). The best race this side of the water is the Class 2 Clarke Chase (3:31) at Uttoxeter.

Uttoxeter

3:31 – Clarke Chase (A Handicap Chase) (For The Sir Stanley And Lady Clarke Challenge Trophy) (Class 2)

Just nine have been declared for this handicap chase, compared to 18 who ran it 12 months ago. Still, it’s a competitive looking race.

Destrier and Barton Knoll were separated by a nose at Aintree last time. Both horses are suited by a sound surface. Barton Knoll gets 1lb from Destrier here and there shouldn’t be much between the pair again. Manofthemountain is just 1lb higher than when winning at Cheltenham last April. Last season was a bit of a disappointment for the 9-year-old, but he’s had wind surgery since finishing well beaten in the Cheltenham race, he won the previous season. If the breathing operation has worked, then he’s in the mix on ground that suits. Demachine is another returning from wind surgery. The 8-year-old is on a good mark, but I think he would prefer more ease in the ground.

Al Roc comes into the race in cracking form having won his last two starts. He’s 7lb higher and in a deeper race than when winning at Fakenham 7-days ago but another big run can’t be ruled out give his present form. Presentandcounting looked a good novice chaser last spring and summer, but his jumping has let him down on his last two starts.  Was still very much in the mix when coming down at Ayr two starts back and looks on a handy mark if his jumping holds up. Pink Eyed Pedro might be an 11-year-old, but he retains plenty of ability as he showed when a 7 ½ length 2nd of 5 to Dublin Four at Chepstow last month. He finished a 4 ¾ length 4^th of 18 in last year’s race and can now race off a 14lb lower mark.  Granted he’s never been a prolific winner 4-35 and his last success came in October 2020 but on ground that suits and in the first-time blinkers he’s, my pick.

Verdict:  On good ground I’m going with Pink Eyed Pedro ahead of the likely well treated Demachine and in form Al Roc.

Longchamp

2:45 – Prix Saint-Alary – 1m 2f

With Prosperous Voyage now a non-runner Wild Beauty is the best of this on RPR’s, but I would be disappointed if the Joseph O’Brien filly Above The Curve and the improving Place Du Carrousel were not able able to improve past her.

3:25 – Prix d’Ispahan – 1m 1 ½ f

The Ed Walker trained Dreamloper will need to improve again to win in Group 1 company. Dilawar looked as good as ever when a head 2nd of 6 in a Group 2 at Saint-Cloud on his seasonal return. Pretty Tiger and last season’s Champion Stakes winner Sealiway were second and third to State Of Rest in the Group 1 Prix Ganay here last time. Just a short head separated the pair at the line that day and there shouldn’t be much between them again but there could be a bot more to come from Pretty Tiger who looks to have improved for a switch of yard.

Betting Advice:

Uttoxeter

3:31 – 1pt win – Pink Eyed Pedro – 5/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Cheers

John

Hi all,

With the Epsom and of course Royal Ascot on the horizon. It’s fair to say this weekend is one of the quieter ones of the summer. There’s some decent fare with the best of the action at Haydock with the Listed Achilles Stakes (1:45) and two Group 3’s the Pinnacle Stakes (2:50) and the John Of Gaunt Stakes (3:30) the highlights of a seven race card.

The juveniles are the stars of the show at Beverley with the Hilary Needler Trophy (2:05) and bet365 Two-Year-Old Trophy (3:15). Prince Of Lir won the Two-Year-Old Trophy on his racecourse debut in 2016 before going onto win the Norfolk Stakes so there could be some Royal Ascot clues on offer.

The best of the action from Haydock, Beverley and Chester is live on ITV.

Haydock

1:45 – Betfred Nifty Fifty Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) – 5f

Dragon Symbol developed into a smart sprinter last season when trained by Archie Watson. Ran like the run was needed when a well beaten 7^th of 9 in the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes at York last time. That was the 4-year-old’s start for new trainer Roger Varian, and this represents a big drop in class to the races he’s been contesting in the past 12 months. Should Dragon Symbol underperform again the ones most likely to take advantage are Clarendon House and Raasel. Just a head separated the pair when they were second & first respectively at Goodwood two starts back. Clarendon House has since gone onto finish a 4 ¼ length fourth of 8 in a Group 3 at Longchamp. He wasn’t the quickest away that day and could still prove he’s up to winning in pattern company. Raasel a big improver in handicap company last autumn and so far, this season is 5lb worse off with Clarendon House but he ran another good race when 3-length 2^nd of 13 at York last time. Has 11lb to find with a back to form Dragon Symbol but his progressed may not have levelled off yet and he deserves to take his chance in Listed company.

2:20 – Betfred Double Delight Handicap – 1m 4f

The William Haggas trained Mahrajaan who is capable of better as a 4-year-old, but he faces several inform horses on his return to action. Forza Orta maintained his recent improvement when a 1 length 2^nd of 11 at York last time and should be thereabouts. Contact won at Newmarket last time. He’s up 5lb for that success but is going the right way and remains on a competitive mark.

Kelly’s Dino won the Old Newton Cup over C&D in 2019 but he hasn’t run for 720-days so will probably need the run. Likewise, Rock Eagle hasn’t been the easiest to keep sound with the 7-year-old returning from a 421-day break. If trainer Ralph Beckett was in better form, I would be quite interested in his chance. Fitness may not be an issue as the geldings’ form figures are 12 when returning from a 365+ day layoff.  Beckett also has a good record with his 4-year-old+ horses at the track 6 winners from 21 runners 29% +13.5 10 placed 48%.

David Probert has been booked for the Eve Johnson Houghton trained HMS President. The 5-year-old doesn’t have the best of win strike rates just 1 win from 19 starts on turf. He ran well when a 6 length fourth of 16 at Ascot last time. He’s frustrating but has plenty of ability and is on a good mark when all the cards fall right. Looks a solid each-way contender.

2:55 – Betfred Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) – 1m 4f

Nell Quickly went through the handicap ranks last season winning her last three starts. Has the potential to improve further as a 4-year-old and her trainer won this race in 2015. Can’t be dismissed on her first start in pattern company and if she gets a bit of juice in the ground. The Jessica Harrington trained filly Climate looks to have improved from three to four and put in a career best on RPR’s when a 1 ¼ length 4th of 6 to Dreamloper in the Group 2 Dahlia Stakes (1m 1f) at Newmarket last time. Yet to race beyond 1m 2f but her pedigree gives plenty of hope that she might stay 1m 4f. Noon Star was a shade disappointing in Group 2 company at York last time but shapes like she will be suited by a step back up to 1m 4f.  Sea La Rosa won four times in a excellent 3-year-old campaign, ending last season with a win in a Listed race on the all-weather at Lingfield. She’s another capable of further progress as 4-year-old. Lady Hayes was a 1 ¼ length 2^nd of 9 to Alpinista in the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks over C&D last July. The 4-year-old has returned in good form, finishing a neck 2nd of 7 in a Listed race at Goodwood last month. Is unexposed over 1m 4f but might be better on softer ground. 

3:30 – Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) – 7f

Kinross bounced back to his best when winning this race last year and then following up in a Group 2 at Goodwood. He’s well suited to a strongly run 7f on an easy surface. However, he wasn’t disgraced when a 4 ½ length 9^th of 20 in the Group 1 Sprint on Champions Day at Ascot. Given he was denied a clear run between the final two furlongs he might well have finished in the places that day. Not sure how. He goes well off a break but may not want the ground to dry out too much before pastime. Happy Power was ½ length behind Kinross at Goodwood. Another specialist at 7f he made it 6-14 over the trip when seeing off two rivals in a Listed race at Leicester last time. Ground versatile he’s got a chance in an opening looking race as does the front running Pogo who can be hard to pass if getting his own way out in front and will be suited by the drying ground. Spycatcher was a 2 ¾ lengths second of 9 to Highfield Princess in the Duke of York Stakes at York last time.  He’s 0-5 over 7f but stays the trip well enough. Laneqash is another suited by a sound surface.  He’s a smart performer at his best although he hasn’t quite lived up to expectations. He’s been gelded over the winter and is lightly raced enough to take think we might not have seen the best of him.

Beverley

It’s good to firm, good in places at Beverley and you would expect it to be quick on Saturday for the arrival of the ITV cameras the East Yorkshire track.

2:05 – Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Class 2) – 5f

Absolutelyflawless made it 2-2 when coming off a strong pace to win at Chester earlier this month. The filly is open to further progress and if she’s as effective on quick ground as soft is the one to beat. Parr Five caused a bit of a shock when winning on her racecourse debut at Doncaster14-days ago. She’s open to plenty more improvement and has definite claims. Distinguished Lady cost 400,000gns at the Breeze-up in April and wasn’t subjected to hard race when a 7 ¾ length 3rd of 10 at Newmarket 14-days ago. She could come on plenty for that run and the yard won this in 2016.

2:40 – bet365 Handicap (Class 3) – 7 ½ f

Percy’s Lad has won both this season’s starts from the front. Up 6lb for his latest success at Nottingham but William Buick has been booked and he’s got a handy draw in stall 3. Wobwobwob looked like he would benefit from a return to 7f when a ½ length 4^th of 10 at Thirsk on his seasonal return. Ran respectably from a low draw when a 3 ¾ lengths 8th of 22 to Dakota Gold at York (6f) last time. The return to further and a slight ease in grade from last time should see him bang there. Ugo Gregory is 3-6 over C&D. He was in good form last autumn winning here and at York. The handicapper has given him a chance though after three low key runs this season as he’s now 2lb below his last winning mark and could be ready strike. David O’Meara has two contenders in Arranmore and Blue For You.  The former has finished runner-up over C&D, including ½ length runner-up to Ugo Gregory last September. He ran like something was amiss when folding tamely over an extended mile on his seasonal return. Cheekpieces left off last time return. Blue For You a Leopardstown handicap winner for Dermot Weld last July is having his first start for the O’Meara yard following 65,000 gns move. No headgear for his stable debut but the 4-yer-old should be placed to win races by his shrewd trainer.

3:15 – bet365 Two-Year-Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Colts & Geldings) (Class 2)

Whistle And Flute a winner at Bath on his racecourse debut is the form pick on his improved 1 ¼ length second of 5 to Bakeel at Ascot last month. JM Jungle improved for his racecourse debut when getting up close to home to win at Hamilton last time. He’s likely capable of further progress for a yard that won this race 12 months ago. Chateau, Corporate Raider and Rogue Spirithave all just had the one start. Chateau shaped like he would better over 6f when a good 1 ¼ length third of 5 at Salisbury 16-days ago. Beverley’s stiff 5f will suit, as will the forecast strong pace. Capable of better and has claims from stall 4 with William Buick booked. Rogue Spirit made all to win over C&D on his racecourse debut. Another open to further improvement and has a handy low draw in stall 2 to make use of. Corporate Raider cost 120,000gns as a yearling but was too green to do himself justice when a 4 ¼ length 4th of 9 at Catterick on his racecourse debut just 8-days ago. Quick turnaround and needs to have improved plenty. Trainer Robert Cowell won this in 2016 with Prince Of Lir who was making his debut.

4:05 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap (Class 3) – 6f

Zargun was back to his best, doing best of those drawn low when a ½-length 2nd of 21 to Asjad at York 6-days ago. Can race off 1lb lower here and Hollie Doyle booked. Looks sure to go close if in the same form as last time. Hollie rode Dancinginthewoods to win last season so it’s a slight concern that she’s on Zargun here. However, I still think Dancinginthewoods has a great chance here.  The 5-year-old likes to come off a strong pace and is well suited to good or quicker ground. He’s down to his last winning mark and would likely have won if he had got a clear run when a ¾ length 4^th of 12 to Gale Force Maya on his seasonal return at Newmarket two starts back. Not seen to best effect after a slow start at Leicester last time but remains in good form. If the application of the first time cheekpieces have the desired and the cards fall right then I think he’s a great chance here on quickish ground.

Chester

3:45 – CM Stellar Sports Handicap (Class 2) – 7 ½ f

Boardman in great form early last season has returned to action as good as ever winning two of his four starts. Unlucky with the draw when only 5^th of 10 here two starts back he’s since gone onto win a shade cosily at Thirsk two weeks ago. Nudged up 3lb for that win but more than capable of defying his new mark out of stall 2. Looks a worthy market leader. Dual course winner Fools Rush In made a solid start for new trainer Hugo Palmer when a 1-length 4^th of 10 over C&D earlier this month. He was a neck in front of Boardman that day and gets 3lb from the favourite today and could get the race run to suit. Oh This Is Us is another dual C&D winner. The 9-year-old almost look advantage of some leniency from the handicapper when a 1-length 3^rd of 10 to Boardman at Haydock (7f) two starts back. Wasn’t in the same form last time when last of 7 over a mile at Newbury two weeks ago. The return to 7f and going around a bend should be more to his liking. He gets a 6lb pull with Boardman now which entitles him to go close which he can do if in a going mood.

Betting Advice:

Haydock

2:20 – HMS President – 10/1 @ Bet365 & Coral

2:55 – Nell Quickly – 7/1 @ Bet365

3:30 – Laneqash – 13/2 @ Bet365

4:05 – Dancinginthewoods – 15/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes

Beverley

2:40 – Blue For You – 8/1 @ Bet365 & Coral

3:15 – JM Jungle – 13/2 @ Bet365

Chester

3:45 – Oh This Is Us – 6/1 @ Bet365 & Coral

Cheers

John