Hi all,
It seems to be all the rage for tipsters to put up a Cheltenham Festival Lucky 15. I have never done before, It’s more a fun bet than anything else but here goes.
What you will see is that I have added two horses that are not in my ante post portfolio and indeed in one race it’s going against my pick in the race.
There is a good reason for this. The whole point of an each-way Lucky 15 like this is to find four selections that are value to place in their respective race. It’s great if one wins but it’s more important that all four place. Well that’s my thinking anyway.
Victor’s Cheltenham Festival Lucky 15
Sporting John – Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle – 8/1 @ Betfair Sportsbook
Made it three form three over hurdles when a novice hurdle at Ascot on Saturday. His novice hurdle form is as good as anything on offer from this side of the Irish Sea. This looks his most likely option ahead of the Supreme and he looks a solid each way alternative to short priced favourite Envoi Allen.
Copperhead – RSA Novices Chase – 8/1 @ Betfair Sportsbook
The best performance on Saturday came from Copperhead in Ascot’s Reynoldstown Novices Chase. Stepping up in class the 6-year-old stamped himself a smart staying novice chaser in the making with an impressive win. Hopefully connections will aim him at the RSA rather than the more stamina demanding National Hunt Chase. He looks far better value than favourite Champ.
Palladium – Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle – 16/1 @ Betfair Sportsbook
After his last win at Sandown win trainer Nicky Henderson said he was aiming the gelding at the race which is always a major positive when it comes to ante post betting. The trainer won the race in 2012 and had the runner-up in 2017 & 2018.
Brewin’upastorm – Arkle Novices’ Chase – 7/1 @ Betfair Sportsbook
We haven’t seen him since making two out of two over fences when winning a Taunton novice chase back in November. His absence from the track isn’t a negative as he’s 3 wins from 3 runs when returning from a 121+day layoff. He needs to improve to win a race like the Arkle on what he’s shown so far but I fully expect him to rate much higher than a 150 horse.
There you have it a 11015/1 fourfold with Betfair Sportsbook.
If all four were to win a £1 Lucky 15 would return a life changing £18,017.03 and if all just place a non-life changing but a not to be sniffed at £198.13 would be returned.
My two Grand National ante-post selections will be up tomorrow.
Good luck if you are playing!
Cheers
John